Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alloa vs Queen of the South

Scotland Scotland

League One 2025/2026 Recreation Park
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Rogerson N.
28' Event
Dickenson B.
Assist: Johnstone B.
40'
Adamson C.

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025/2026 game between Alloa and Queen of the South finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Queen of the South.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Alloa
39%
Draws
31%
Queen of the South
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Alloa have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — Queen of the South are scoring more at 1.75.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Queen of the South have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Alloa Clean Sheet 13%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alloa Queen of the South
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 League One
Alloa vs Queen of the South
1:4
Feb 14, 2026 League One
Queen of the South vs Alloa
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 League One
Alloa vs Queen of the South
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 League One
Queen of the South vs Alloa
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 League One
Queen of the South vs Alloa
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Orsi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Queen of the South Compare

Top Goalscorer Clark N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dickenson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 30 / 100
Queen of the South 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alloa Queen of the South

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queen of the South let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Alloa scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Alloa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS Queen of the South
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness362111460:2469
2Stenhousemuir361813550:2767
3Queen of the South3614121058:4754
4Alloa361581350:3853
5Peterhead361271748:6443
6Montrose361191648:6742
7Cove Rangers369111641:4438
8East Fife36991834:6136
9Hamilton361671354:4234
10Kelty Hearts366111933:6229