Sport Picks
Alloa vs Stenhousemuir
Scotland
Championship 2025/2026 Recreation Park, Alloa 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Stenhousemuir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Stenhousemuir carry the better recent record into this one.
- Alloa are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Stenhousemuir arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Stenhousemuir, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alloa | Stenhousemuir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alloa Compare
Stenhousemuir Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Alloa scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Alloa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Stenhousemuir has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
