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Almaden vs United PDX Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Evans C.

AI Match Summary

United PDX in this USL League Two 2024 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Almaden
15%
Draws
32%
United PDX
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almaden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Almaden lately — more wins on the board than United PDX.
  • Model gives Almaden a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Almaden have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor United PDX, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Almaden Clean Sheet 20%
United PDX Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almaden United PDX
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2024 USL League Two
Almaden vs United PDX
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almaden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

United PDX Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almaden 85 / 100
United PDX 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almaden United PDX

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almaden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almaden scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Almaden stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

United PDX's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Almaden VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Almaden

(Home)
12 Jul
Almaden
6 : 0
Davis Legacy
07 Jul
San Francisco Glens SC
0 : 2
Almaden
02 Jul
Marin
0 : 1
Almaden
28 Jun
Almaden
2 : 1
Project 51O
21 Jun
Almaden
3 : 0
San Francisco Glens SC
Page 1 of 6

United PDX

(Away)
21 Jul
United PDX
4 : 5
Project 51O
19 Jul
Almaden
0 : 1
United PDX
14 Jul
Lane United FC
1 : 2
United PDX
13 Jul
Ballard
1 : 0
United PDX
10 Jul
United PDX
1 : 0
Tacoma Stars
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Peoria IL 2
Thunder Bay Chill 0
Menace 2
Bavarian United SC 0
Flint City 1
Cleveland Force 0
Fort Wayne 1
Midwest United 0
Ballard 1
Project 51O 2
Almaden 0
United PDX 1
Tucson 3
Flatirons 2
Ventura 2
Albion Colorado 1
Lionsbridge 2
Western Pioneers 1
Salem City 3
Virginia Beach United 2
Ocean City 0
Seacoast United Phantoms 1
Long Island 1
Vermont Green 3
Asheville City 4
Nona 0
Brave SC 2
Sarasota Paradise 1
Little Rock Rangers 5
AHFC Royals 2
Corpus Christi FC 5
Tennessee 3
1/8-finals
Peoria IL 6
Menace 5
Flint City 2
Fort Wayne 1
Project 51O 5
United PDX 4
Tucson 1
Ventura 0
Lionsbridge 2
Salem City 0
Seacoast United Phantoms 3
Vermont Green 0
Asheville City 2
Brave SC 1
Little Rock Rangers 1
Corpus Christi FC 2
Quarter-finals
Peoria IL 1
Flint City 0
Project 51O 1
Tucson 2
Lionsbridge 3
Seacoast United Phantoms 6
Asheville City 1
Corpus Christi FC 0
Semi-finals
Peoria IL 5
Tucson 1
Seacoast United Phantoms 1
Asheville City 0
Final
Peoria IL 2
Seacoast United Phantoms 3