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Almaden vs United PDX

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Evans C.

AI Match Summary

United PDX in this USL League Two 2024 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Almaden
6%
Draws
4%
United PDX
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Almaden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Almaden lately — more wins on the board than United PDX.
  • Model gives Almaden a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Almaden have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor United PDX, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Almaden Clean Sheet 20%
United PDX Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almaden United PDX
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2024 USL League Two
Almaden vs United PDX
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almaden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

United PDX Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almaden 85 / 100
United PDX 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almaden United PDX

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almaden scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Almaden stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

United PDX's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Almaden VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Almaden

(Home)
12 Jul
Almaden
6 : 0
Davis Legacy
07 Jul
San Francisco Glens SC
0 : 2
Almaden
02 Jul
Marin
0 : 1
Almaden
28 Jun
Almaden
2 : 1
Project 51O
21 Jun
Almaden
3 : 0
San Francisco Glens SC
Page 1 of 6

United PDX

(Away)
21 Jul
United PDX
4 : 5
Project 51O
19 Jul
Almaden
0 : 1
United PDX
14 Jul
Lane United FC
1 : 2
United PDX
13 Jul
Ballard
1 : 0
United PDX
10 Jul
United PDX
1 : 0
Tacoma Stars
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Peoria IL2
Thunder Bay Chill0
Menace2
Bavarian United SC0
Flint City1
Cleveland Force0
Fort Wayne1
Midwest United0
Ballard1
Project 51O2
Almaden0
United PDX1
Tucson3
Flatirons2
Ventura2
Albion Colorado1
Lionsbridge2
Western Pioneers1
Salem City3
Virginia Beach United2
Ocean City0
Seacoast United Phantoms1
Long Island1
Vermont Green3
Asheville City4
Nona0
Brave SC2
Sarasota Paradise1
Little Rock Rangers5
AHFC Royals2
Corpus Christi FC5
Tennessee3
1/8-finals
Peoria IL6
Menace5
Flint City2
Fort Wayne1
Project 51O5
United PDX4
Tucson1
Ventura0
Lionsbridge2
Salem City0
Seacoast United Phantoms3
Vermont Green0
Asheville City2
Brave SC1
Little Rock Rangers1
Corpus Christi FC2
Quarter-finals
Peoria IL1
Flint City0
Project 51O1
Tucson2
Lionsbridge3
Seacoast United Phantoms6
Asheville City1
Corpus Christi FC0
Semi-finals
Peoria IL5
Tucson1
Seacoast United Phantoms1
Asheville City0
Final
Peoria IL2
Seacoast United Phantoms3