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Stadium Background

Almagro vs Gimnasia y Tiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Tres de Febrero, Jose Ingenieros
Almagro Logo

Almagro

0 - 2
FT
Gimnasia y Tiro Logo

Gimnasia y Tiro

Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sivetti F.
34' Event
Gordillo L.
Assist: Rocca J.
42'
Guanini M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Almagro and Gimnasia y Tiro finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gimnasia y Tiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Almagro
20%
Draws
51%
Gimnasia y Tiro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gimnasia y Tiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gimnasia y Tiro come out ahead of Almagro on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gimnasia y Tiro have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Almagro Clean Sheet 20%
Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almagro Gimnasia y Tiro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Gimnasia y Tiro
0:2
Feb 28, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Almagro
2:0
Jun 29, 2025 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Almagro
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Gimnasia y Tiro
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Gimnasia y Tiro
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almagro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Gimnasia y Tiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Gordillo L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almagro 32 / 100
Gimnasia y Tiro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almagro Gimnasia y Tiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almagro's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Gimnasia y Tiro has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Almagro remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Almagro VS Gimnasia y Tiro
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Almagro

(Home)
04 Oct
San Martin S.J.
1 : 2
Almagro
27 Sept
Almagro
0 : 1
Nueva Chicago
19 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Almagro
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2
Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Almagro
1 : 2
Gimnasia Jujuy
Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia y Tiro

(Away)
04 Oct
San Martin T.
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
20 Sept
Agropecuario
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
12 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
06 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)