Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Almagro vs Gimnasia y Tiro

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Tres de Febrero, Jose Ingenieros
Tue, Jul 21, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Almagro host Gimnasia y Tiro in the Primera Nacional. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Gimnasia y Tiro have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Almagro have conceded 0.63 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Almagro have won 0 to Gimnasia y Tiro's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 0.69) point toward Gimnasia y Tiro. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Almagro
20%
Draws
38%
Gimnasia y Tiro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almagro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gimnasia y Tiro come out ahead of Almagro on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Almagro's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gimnasia y Tiro have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Almagro Clean Sheet 20%
Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almagro Gimnasia y Tiro
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Almagro
2:0
Jun 29, 2025 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Almagro
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Gimnasia y Tiro
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Gimnasia y Tiro
0:3
Jun 2, 2024 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Almagro
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almagro 42 / 100
Gimnasia y Tiro 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almagro Gimnasia y Tiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia y Tiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Almagro has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Almagro found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Almagro VS Gimnasia y Tiro
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Almagro

(Home)
12 Jul
San Martin T.
3 : 0
Almagro
04 Jul
Almagro
1 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
20 Jun
Almagro
2 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
13 Jun
Almagro
2 : 1
Agropecuario
06 Jun
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Almagro
Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia y Tiro

(Away)
12 Jul
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 1
Patronato
04 Jul
Colegiales
1 : 2
Gimnasia y Tiro
21 Jun
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
13 Jun
Quilmes
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
06 Jun
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0
Midland
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro20124423:1440
2Colon Santa Fe2098327:1535
3Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar2079419:1630
6CA Estudiantes2086618:1630
7Almirante Brown2086615:1330
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2066820:2424
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys2049713:2021
14San Telmo2048816:2120
15Acassuso20541115:2319
16Central Norte2047912:2119
17CA Mitre2039819:2718
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
4Temperley20710319:1731
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2078519:1529
7Deportivo Maipu2084827:2128
8Atl. Rafaela2076715:1627
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago1967617:1725
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2047914:2419
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)