Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Tres de Febrero, Jose Ingenieros

Almagro

1 - 2

San Martin S.J.

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Zuliani H.

51'

Funez N.

56'

Hachen G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Almagro and San Martin S.J. finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin S.J..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Almagro

30%

Draws

34%

San Martin S.J.

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Almagro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Almagro haven't matched San Martin S.J.'s recent run of results.
Almagro are the model's pick here, at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Almagro Clean Sheet 20%

San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Almagro	San Martin S.J.
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	7	10
Draws	9	8
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	1	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.88	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Primera Nacional

Almagro vs San Martin S.J.

1:2

Sep 20, 2023 Primera Nacional

Almagro vs San Martin S.J.

0:3

Apr 30, 2023 Primera Nacional

San Martin S.J. vs Almagro

3:0

May 14, 2022 Primera Nacional

Almagro vs San Martin S.J.

1:0

Sep 17, 2021 Primera Nacional

San Martin S.J. vs Almagro

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almagro Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitale J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

San Martin S.J. Compare

Top Goalscorer Funez N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Monje L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almagro 36 / 100

San Martin S.J. 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Almagro San Martin S.J.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Martin S.J. conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Almagro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

San Martin S.J. lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almagro VS San Martin S.J.

1 Goals Scored 1.13

0.88 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Almagro

(Home)

12 Jul

San Martin T.

3 : 0

Almagro

04 Jul

Almagro

1 : 0

Atl. Rafaela

20 Jun

Almagro

2 : 0

Atletico Atlanta

13 Jun

Almagro

2 : 1

Agropecuario

06 Jun

Tristan Suarez

0 : 0

Almagro

Page 1 of 6

San Martin S.J.

(Away)

12 Jul

Club Atletico Guemes

0 : 2

San Martin S.J.

05 Jul

San Martin S.J.

0 : 1

Chacarita Juniors

20 Jun

San Martin S.J.

2 : 0

Agropecuario

13 Jun

Gimnasia Jujuy

2 : 1

San Martin S.J.

31 May

Temperley

2 : 1

San Martin S.J.

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	21	13	4	4	25:14	43
2	Deportivo Moron	20	10	5	5	29:19	35
3	Colon Santa Fe	21	9	8	4	27:17	35
4	Los Andes	20	8	8	4	19:8	32
5	Ciudad Bolivar	21	7	10	4	19:16	31
6	CA Estudiantes	21	8	7	6	18:16	31
7	Almirante Brown	21	8	7	6	15:13	31
8	Deportivo Madryn	20	7	8	5	27:22	29
9	Godoy Cruz	20	7	7	6	20:17	28
10	San Miguel	20	5	10	5	17:21	25
11	Racing Cordoba	21	6	6	9	20:25	24
12	Defensores de Belgrano	20	5	8	7	14:18	23
13	All Boys	21	4	10	7	13:20	22
14	CA Mitre	21	4	9	8	20:27	21
15	San Telmo	20	4	8	8	16:21	20
16	Acassuso	20	5	4	11	15:23	19
17	Central Norte	20	4	7	9	12:21	19
18	Chaco For Ever	20	3	7	10	17:26	16

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	20	11	5	4	32:22	38
2	Atletico Atlanta	20	11	3	6	25:15	36
3	Temperley	21	8	10	3	21:17	34
4	Tristan Suarez	20	8	9	3	17:11	33
5	Midland	20	8	6	6	21:15	30
6	San Martin T.	21	7	9	5	19:15	30
7	Deportivo Maipu	21	8	5	8	27:21	29
8	Atl. Rafaela	21	7	6	8	15:18	27
9	San Martin S.J.	19	7	5	7	20:19	26
10	Nueva Chicago	20	6	8	6	18:18	26
11	Gimnasia y Tiro	20	6	7	7	19:21	25
12	Almagro	20	7	4	9	16:22	25
13	Quilmes	20	6	6	8	18:16	24
14	Colegiales	20	6	5	9	18:20	23
15	Chacarita Juniors	20	6	5	9	16:21	23
16	Patronato	20	4	10	6	13:17	22
17	Agropecuario	21	4	8	9	15:25	20
18	Club Atletico Guemes	20	5	4	11	18:34	19

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)