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Almagro vs San Martin S.J. Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Tres de Febrero, Jose Ingenieros
Almagro Logo

Almagro

1 - 2
FT
San Martin S.J. Logo

San Martin S.J.

Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Zuliani H.
51' Event
Funez N.
56'
Hachen G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Almagro and San Martin S.J. finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin S.J..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Almagro
20%
Draws
51%
San Martin S.J.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Martin S.J.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Almagro haven't matched San Martin S.J.'s recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Almagro Clean Sheet 19%
San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almagro San Martin S.J.
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs San Martin S.J.
1:2
Sep 20, 2023 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs San Martin S.J.
0:3
Apr 30, 2023 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Almagro
3:0
May 14, 2022 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs San Martin S.J.
1:0
Sep 17, 2021 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Almagro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almagro Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitale J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

San Martin S.J. Compare

Top Goalscorer Funez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Monje L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almagro 36 / 100
San Martin S.J. 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almagro San Martin S.J.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Martin S.J. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almagro found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

San Martin S.J. has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Almagro went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almagro VS San Martin S.J.
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Almagro

(Home)
27 Sept
Almagro
0 : 1
Nueva Chicago
19 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Almagro
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2
Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Almagro
1 : 2
Gimnasia Jujuy
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1
Almagro
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San Martin S.J.

(Away)
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
06 Sept
San Martin S.J.
3 : 2
Midland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 31 16 7 8 49:31 55
3 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
4 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
14 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
15 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
16 CA Mitre 31 6 14 11 27:39 32
17 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 31 15 12 4 32:15 57
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 31 15 9 7 47:38 54
3 Temperley 31 14 11 6 36:25 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)