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Almazan vs Sporting Uxama

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2018/2019 game between Almazan and Sporting Uxama finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almazan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Almazan
6%
Draws
4%
Sporting Uxama
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Almazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sporting Uxama haven't matched Almazan's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Almazan taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Almazan Clean Sheet 19%
Sporting Uxama Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almazan Sporting Uxama
Matches Played 43 28
Wins 21 2
Draws 11 2
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Sporting Uxama
5:2
Dec 6, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sporting Uxama vs Almazan
1:2
May 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sporting Uxama vs Almazan
2:1
Dec 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Sporting Uxama
1:1
Jan 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sporting Uxama vs Almazan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almazan 85 / 100
Sporting Uxama 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almazan Sporting Uxama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Uxama has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Almazan scored in 77% of their last 43 games.

Away concern: Sporting Uxama has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Almazan VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Almazan

(Home)
10 May
Almazan
1 : 1
Santa Marta Tormes
01 May
La Virgen
1 : 2
Almazan
26 Apr
Almazan
0 : 1
Mansilles
23 Apr
Mansilles
1 : 0
Almazan
19 Apr
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 0
Almazan
Page 1 of 9

Sporting Uxama

(Away)
19 May
Sporting Uxama
0 : 4
Zamora
11 May
Burgos CF B
5 : 2
Sporting Uxama
04 May
Sporting Uxama
3 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
28 Apr
Almazan
5 : 2
Sporting Uxama
18 Apr
Sporting Uxama
2 : 4
Atletico Astorga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zamora38279294:2290
2Gimnastica Segoviana38269377:2487
3Arandina382411371:1683
4Numancia B38248669:2580
5Atletico Astorga38245986:3577
6Real Avila381911853:3268
7Palencia CA381841661:5558
8Leonesa B381691357:4757
9La Virgen381661641:5554
10Burgos CF B3814121242:4354
11Atletico Tordesillas381581541:4553
12Almazan3813101549:5649
13Santa Marta Tormes389101936:5837
14Bembibre386171527:4635
15La Baneza388102038:7234
16Bupolsa387112036:5932
17La Granja386102235:8128
18Briviesca384151928:6827
19CD Cebrerena384132129:6525
20Sporting Uxama38443024:9016
21Real Burgos CF00000:00
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)