Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Almazan vs Villaralbo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Santa Cruz S.
83' Event
Gonzalez O.
88' Event
Cepeda D.

AI Match Summary

Almazan in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almazan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Almazan
35%
Draws
20%
Villaralbo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Almazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Almazan have won more games recently than Villaralbo.
  • Win probability leans Almazan's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Almazan Clean Sheet 68%
Villaralbo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almazan Villaralbo
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.58 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Villaralbo
2:2
Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Villaralbo
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Almazan
0:0
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Almazan
3:0
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Villaralbo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Santa Cruz S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Villaralbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cepeda D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almazan 77 / 100
Villaralbo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almazan Villaralbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almazan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Almazan remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Almazan scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Villaralbo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Almazan VS Villaralbo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Almazan

(Home)
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2
Villaralbo
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
06 Sept
Almazan
2 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca B
10 May
Almazan
1 : 1
Santa Marta Tormes
01 May
La Virgen
1 : 2
Almazan
Page 1 of 7

Villaralbo

(Away)
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2
Villaralbo
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
06 Sept
Burgos CF B
1 : 0
Villaralbo
09 May
Mirandes B
4 : 2
Villaralbo
02 May
Villaralbo
2 : 1
Colegios Diocesanos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)