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Almere City vs Jong Utrecht Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
70' Event
Providence R.
80' Event
Ghogli I.

AI Match Summary

Almere City in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almere City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Almere City
15%
Draws
37%
Jong Utrecht
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almere City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Almere City lately — more wins on the board than Jong Utrecht.
  • Model gives Almere City a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Almere City have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Almere City Clean Sheet 16%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almere City Jong Utrecht
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.17 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Almere City
2:3
Sep 26, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Jong Utrecht
4:0
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Almere City vs Jong Utrecht
3:1
Apr 3, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Jong Utrecht
1:0
Oct 7, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Almere City
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almere City Compare

Top Goalscorer Providence R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ghogli I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Jong Utrecht Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almere City 57 / 100
Jong Utrecht 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almere City Jong Utrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almere City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almere City's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Jong Utrecht let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Almere City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Almere City VS Jong Utrecht
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Almere City

(Home)
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2
Almere City
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0
Heracles
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4
Almere City
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1
Jong Ajax
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4
Almere City
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Jong Utrecht

(Away)
18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3
Venlo
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1
Jong Ajax
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3
Jong Utrecht
07 Sept
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0
Eindhoven FC
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
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