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Almeria B vs Atletico de Marbella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Almeria B host Atletico de Marbella in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Almeria B at 1 goals for, 1.31 against; Atletico de Marbella at 0.71 for, 1.29 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.06, favoring Almeria B. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Almeria B
20%
Draws
23%
Atletico de Marbella
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almeria B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Almeria B have won more games recently than Atletico de Marbella.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Almeria B taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Almeria B Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico de Marbella Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almeria B Atletico de Marbella
Matches Played 29 7
Wins 6 1
Draws 9 2
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almeria B 85 / 100
Atletico de Marbella 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almeria B Atletico de Marbella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almeria B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico de Marbella let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Attacking prowess: Almeria B scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Almeria B went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Atletico de Marbella has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Almeria B VS Atletico de Marbella
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Almeria B

(Home)
18 Oct
Granada CF B
0 : 1
Almeria B
11 Oct
Almeria B
2 : 1
Malaga B
04 Oct
Cantoria
1 : 1
Almeria B
27 Sept
Almeria B
4 : 0
Atletico de Porcuna
20 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Almeria B
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Atletico de Marbella

(Away)
18 Oct
Atletico de Marbella
2 : 2
Huetor Vega
11 Oct
Granada CF B
2 : 1
Atletico de Marbella
04 Oct
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
26 Sept
Malaga B
1 : 0
Atletico de Marbella
20 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
1 : 0
Mancha
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 7 6 0 1 13:5 18
2 Almeria B 7 5 1 1 12:4 16
3 Arenas Armilla 7 4 3 0 15:7 15
4 Motril 7 4 3 0 11:5 15
5 Marbelli 7 4 1 2 8:7 13
6 UD San Pedro 7 4 0 3 9:10 12
7 Malaga B 7 3 2 2 13:7 11
8 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
9 Churriana de la Vega 7 3 1 3 13:10 10
10 Granada CF B 7 3 1 3 9:6 10
11 Atletico de Porcuna 7 3 1 3 9:15 10
12 CD Alhaurino 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
13 Torre del Mar 7 2 1 4 6:8 7
14 Huetor Vega 7 1 3 3 10:14 6
15 Atletico de Marbella 7 1 2 4 5:9 5
16 Mancha 7 1 2 4 5:11 5
17 Cantoria 7 0 3 4 4:12 3
18 Malaga Juniors 7 0 0 7 5:18 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)