Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Romera J. M.
90'
90'
Alonso A.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Almeria B and Jaen finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almeria B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Jaen carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Almeria B's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Almeria B Clean Sheet 68%
Jaen Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Almeria B | Jaen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Almeria B vs Jaen
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Jaen vs Almeria B
2:1
Jun 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs Almeria B
1:2
Jun 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Almeria B vs Jaen
2:2
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Almeria B vs Jaen
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Almeria B Compare
Top Goalscorer Romera J. M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Jaen Compare
Top Goalscorer Alonso A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Almeria B 86 / 100
Jaen 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Almeria B Jaen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Almeria B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Almeria B scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Jaen let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Almeria B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Almeria B VS Jaen
1.33 Goals Scored 1.75
0.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Almeria B
(Home) 27 Sept
Almeria B
4 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
20 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0 Almeria B
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Almeria B
03 May
Aguilas FC
2 : 0 Almeria B
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Almeria B
4 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
26 Apr
Almeria B
3 : 4 Deportiva Minera
11 Apr
Almeria B
1 : 2 CD Estepona
05 Apr
Almeria B
1 : 1 Lorca Deportiva
Page 1 of 3
Jaen
(Away) 03 Oct
Hercules
0 : 0 Jaen
27 Sept
Antequera
2 : 0 Jaen
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1 UD Ibiza
12 Sept
Teruel
0 : 1 Jaen
06 Sept
Jaen
2 : 2 Huesca
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Hercules
0 : 0 Jaen
27 Sept
Antequera
2 : 0 Jaen
12 Sept
Teruel
0 : 1 Jaen
30 Aug
CE Europa
0 : 3 Jaen
01 Aug
Linares
0 : 2 Jaen
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union (Malacitano) | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez Deportivo FC | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
