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Almeria vs Real Oviedo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 UD Almería Stadium, Almería
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Almeria host Real Oviedo in the LaLiga2. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Almeria at 1.72 goals for, 1.14 against; Real Oviedo at 1.1 for, 1.28 against. Head-to-head, Almeria have won 0 to Real Oviedo's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 11, 2025, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.81) point toward Almeria. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Almeria
15%
Draws
32%
Real Oviedo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Almeria have won more games recently than Real Oviedo.
  • Almeria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Almeria Clean Sheet 20%
Real Oviedo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almeria Real Oviedo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.72 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2025 LaLiga2
Real Oviedo vs Almeria
1:1
Jun 7, 2025 LaLiga2
Almeria vs Real Oviedo
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 LaLiga2
Almeria vs Real Oviedo
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 LaLiga2
Real Oviedo vs Almeria
3:2
Jan 29, 2022 LaLiga2
Real Oviedo vs Almeria
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almeria 85 / 100
Real Oviedo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almeria Real Oviedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almeria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Almeria stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Almeria found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Real Oviedo has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Almeria VS Real Oviedo
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Almeria

(Home)
11 Oct
Almeria
3 : 0
Leganes
03 Oct
Almeria
2 : 1
Burgos CF
27 Sept
Mallorca
0 : 1
Almeria
20 Sept
Almeria
2 : 0
Celta Vigo B
12 Sept
Cordoba
0 : 2
Almeria
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Real Oviedo

(Away)
12 Oct
Real Oviedo
3 : 1
Eibar
02 Oct
Eldense
4 : 1
Real Oviedo
27 Sept
Real Oviedo
2 : 0
Gijon
20 Sept
Sabadell
3 : 1
Real Oviedo
13 Sept
Valladolid
0 : 3
Real Oviedo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Almeria 9 7 0 2 16:5 21
2 Eibar 9 7 0 2 19:10 21
3 Castellon 9 6 2 1 15:4 20
4 Mallorca 9 5 2 2 11:4 17
5 Sabadell 9 4 4 1 10:7 16
6 Gijon 9 5 1 3 9:8 16
7 Girona 9 4 3 2 15:9 15
8 Burgos CF 9 4 2 3 12:10 14
9 Real Oviedo 9 4 2 3 11:9 14
10 Granada CF 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
11 Valladolid 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
12 Tenerife 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
13 Celta Vigo B 9 3 2 4 14:15 11
14 Eldense 9 3 2 4 10:11 11
15 Las Palmas 9 3 2 4 13:16 11
16 Leganes 9 3 2 4 6:14 11
17 FC Andorra 9 3 1 5 13:15 10
18 Cordoba 9 3 0 6 14:20 9
19 Real Sociedad B 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
20 Cadiz 9 1 4 4 11:11 7
21 AD Ceuta 9 1 2 6 8:20 5
22 Albacete 9 0 1 8 5:20 1
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)