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Almirante Barroso vs Avai B Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2019
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Avai B advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Almirante Barroso
30%
Draws
47%
Avai B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Avai B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Avai B's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Almirante Barroso have produced (0.9).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Avai B, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Almirante Barroso Clean Sheet 11%
Avai B Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almirante Barroso Avai B
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 7 7
Draws 12 3
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.9 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Avai B vs Almirante Barroso
1:1
Sep 8, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Almirante Barroso vs Avai B
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almirante Barroso 30 / 100
Avai B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almirante Barroso Avai B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avai B let in goals in 88% of their last 16 matches.

Almirante Barroso scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Avai B's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Almirante Barroso VS Avai B
0.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Almirante Barroso

(Home)
31 Oct
Avai B
1 : 1
Almirante Barroso
27 Oct
Figueirense B
2 : 2
Almirante Barroso
20 Oct
Almirante Barroso
0 : 1
Brusque
16 Oct
Fluminense-SC
6 : 0
Almirante Barroso
13 Oct
Almirante Barroso
0 : 1
Marcilio Dias
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Avai B

(Away)
10 Nov
Marcilio Dias
4 : 1
Avai B
05 Nov
Avai B
1 : 0
Marcilio Dias
31 Oct
Avai B
1 : 1
Almirante Barroso
27 Oct
Marcilio Dias
1 : 0
Avai B
23 Oct
Avai B
0 : 2
Tubarao
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 14 10 2 2 22:10 32
2 Brusque 14 7 4 3 26:17 25
3 Tubarao 14 6 6 2 20:13 24
4 Avai B 14 6 3 5 22:22 21
5 Fluminense-SC 14 4 5 5 25:24 17
6 Joinville 14 4 3 7 17:21 15
7 Figueirense B 14 2 4 8 14:24 10
8 Almirante Barroso 14 1 5 8 9:24 8
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2019 (Play Offs)