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Almirante Brown vs Ciudad Bolivar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, Isidro Casanova
Almirante Brown Logo

Almirante Brown

2 - 0
FT
Ciudad Bolivar Logo

Ciudad Bolivar

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Yeri N.
Penalty Missed
38'
Sub
Gonzalez A. In: Maciel J.
Out: Gonzalez A.
54' Event
Cardozo E.
Assist: Abreliano M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Almirante Brown in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almirante Brown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Almirante Brown
30%
Draws
54%
Ciudad Bolivar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciudad Bolivar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciudad Bolivar have won more games recently than Almirante Brown.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 25%
Ciudad Bolivar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almirante Brown Ciudad Bolivar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.75 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.64 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Ciudad Bolivar
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ciudad Bolivar vs Almirante Brown
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almirante Brown Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardozo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ibanez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Ciudad Bolivar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almirante Brown 33 / 100
Ciudad Bolivar 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almirante Brown Ciudad Bolivar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad Bolivar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Almirante Brown scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Ciudad Bolivar has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Almirante Brown stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almirante Brown VS Ciudad Bolivar
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Almirante Brown

(Home)
04 Oct
San Telmo
3 : 2
Almirante Brown
26 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 1
Acassuso
20 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
Almirante Brown
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0
Ferro
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0
Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 6

Ciudad Bolivar

(Away)
03 Oct
Acassuso
0 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
26 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
2 : 1
Chaco For Ever
19 Sept
Ferro
1 : 0
Ciudad Bolivar
12 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 0
Central Norte
06 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
3 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)