Sport Picks
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, Isidro Casanova 
Match Events
17'
17'
Villoldo T.
Assist: Abreliano M.
22'
22'
Corvalan C.
35'
35'
Sub
Giacopuzzi F. In: Ortiz N. D.
Out: Giacopuzzi F.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Almirante Brown and Deportivo Madryn finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almirante Brown.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportivo Madryn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Deportivo Madryn come out ahead of Almirante Brown on wins alone.
- Deportivo Madryn are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Deportivo Madryn have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 17%
Deportivo Madryn Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Almirante Brown | Deportivo Madryn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.64 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Almirante Brown
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Almirante Brown
5:1
Jun 2, 2024 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn
0:1
Jun 26, 2022 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Almirante Brown
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Almirante Brown Compare
Top Goalscorer Villoldo T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Deportivo Madryn Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Almirante Brown 23 / 100
Deportivo Madryn 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Almirante Brown Deportivo Madryn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Madryn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportivo Madryn has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Almirante Brown scored in 54% of their last 28 games.
Solid form: Almirante Brown remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Almirante Brown VS Deportivo Madryn
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Almirante Brown
(Home) 04 Oct
San Telmo
3 : 2 Almirante Brown
26 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 1 Acassuso
20 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0 Almirante Brown
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0 Ferro
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0 Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 1 Acassuso
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0 Ferro
30 Aug
Almirante Brown
1 : 0 Deportivo Madryn
08 Aug
Almirante Brown
2 : 0 Ciudad Bolivar
02 Aug
Almirante Brown
2 : 0 Racing Cordoba
Page 1 of 3
Deportivo Madryn
(Away) 02 Oct
Ferro
0 : 2 Deportivo Madryn
26 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0 Central Norte
20 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 0 Racing Cordoba
14 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
2 : 1 Deportivo Madryn
06 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
3 : 1 Ciudad Bolivar
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Ferro
0 : 2 Deportivo Madryn
14 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
2 : 1 Deportivo Madryn
30 Aug
Almirante Brown
1 : 0 Deportivo Madryn
16 Aug
San Martin T.
2 : 2 Deportivo Madryn
08 Aug
CA Estudiantes
0 : 1 Deportivo Madryn
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36:27 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:32 | 58 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39:25 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 25:21 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27:28 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 25:23 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 25:29 | 37 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 28:36 | 37 |
| 13 | Racing Cordoba | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 29:39 | 37 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 20:29 | 33 |
| 16 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18:28 | 33 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25:38 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22:35 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 32:15 | 59 |
| 2 | Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38:26 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 38:30 | 55 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 5 | Midland | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 38:26 | 51 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 32:28 | 48 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:31 | 47 |
| 8 | Colegiales | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 32:31 | 47 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 10 | San Martin T. | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35:32 | 43 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 27:34 | 42 |
| 12 | Almagro | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 30:39 | 41 |
| 13 | Agropecuario | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 27:35 | 40 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 30:28 | 39 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 23:30 | 36 |
| 16 | Patronato | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 27:32 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 25:35 | 33 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 23:54 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
