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Almodovar vs Esperanca de Lagos

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014
Almodovar Logo

Almodovar

3 - 3
FT
Esperanca de Lagos Logo

Esperanca de Lagos

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Almodovar
20%
Draws
32%
Esperanca de Lagos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almodovar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Esperanca de Lagos lately — more wins on the board than Almodovar.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Almodovar taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Almodovar Clean Sheet 10%
Esperanca de Lagos Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almodovar Esperanca de Lagos
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 12
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Almodovar vs Esperanca de Lagos
3:3
Mar 16, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Esperanca de Lagos vs Almodovar
1:0
Dec 22, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Esperanca de Lagos vs Almodovar
0:0
Oct 6, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Esperanca de Lagos vs Almodovar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almodovar 40 / 100
Esperanca de Lagos 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almodovar Esperanca de Lagos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Esperanca de Lagos conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Esperanca de Lagos's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Almodovar scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Almodovar VS Esperanca de Lagos
1 Goals Scored 1.25
5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Almodovar

(Home)
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
23 Sept
Sporting Ideal
1 : 0
Almodovar
03 Sept
Almodovar
5 : 2
CDR Quarteirense
17 May
Moura AC
5 : 0
Almodovar
11 May
Almodovar
0 : 2
Louletano
Page 1 of 6

Esperanca de Lagos

(Away)
08 Sept
Louletano
3 : 0
Esperanca de Lagos
16 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 1
Olhanense
08 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
3 : 0
Esperanca de Lagos
02 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
19 Mar
SC Angrense
1 : 1
Esperanca de Lagos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moura AC 14 8 4 2 26:11 44
2 Louletano 14 7 5 2 22:12 37
3 Uniao Montemor 14 6 7 1 21:14 37
4 CDR Quarteirense 14 6 5 3 25:16 35
5 Cova De Piedade 14 5 3 6 23:25 31
6 FC Barreirense 14 4 6 4 16:17 28
7 Esperanca de Lagos 14 2 3 9 10:28 15
8 Almodovar 14 0 3 11 10:30 10
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)