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Almodovar vs Moura AC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014
Almodovar Logo

Almodovar

0 - 2
FT
Moura AC Logo

Moura AC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Moura AC in this Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moura AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Almodovar
15%
Draws
49%
Moura AC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moura AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Moura AC lately — more wins on the board than Almodovar.
  • Moura AC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Moura AC have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Almodovar Clean Sheet 10%
Moura AC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almodovar Moura AC
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 4 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.9 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Moura AC vs Almodovar
5:0
Mar 30, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Almodovar vs Moura AC
0:2
Dec 1, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Almodovar vs Moura AC
0:0
Sep 8, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Moura AC vs Almodovar
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almodovar 14 / 100
Moura AC 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almodovar Moura AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moura AC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moura AC has conceded goals in 69% of their last 39 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Moura AC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Almodovar found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Almodovar VS Moura AC
1 Goals Scored 1.5
5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Almodovar

(Home)
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
23 Sept
Sporting Ideal
1 : 0
Almodovar
03 Sept
Almodovar
5 : 2
CDR Quarteirense
17 May
Moura AC
5 : 0
Almodovar
11 May
Almodovar
0 : 2
Louletano
Page 1 of 6

Moura AC

(Away)
13 Apr
Moura AC
1 : 2
Amora
06 Apr
Lagoa
0 : 1
Moura AC
29 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 1
Estrela da Amadora B
16 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 2
Sintrense
09 Mar
Moura AC
0 : 1
Louletano
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moura AC 14 8 4 2 26:11 44
2 Louletano 14 7 5 2 22:12 37
3 Uniao Montemor 14 6 7 1 21:14 37
4 CDR Quarteirense 14 6 5 3 25:16 35
5 Cova De Piedade 14 5 3 6 23:25 31
6 FC Barreirense 14 4 6 4 16:17 28
7 Esperanca de Lagos 14 2 3 9 10:28 15
8 Almodovar 14 0 3 11 10:30 10
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)