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Almudevar vs CF Illueca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Sow S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between Almudevar and CF Illueca finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Illueca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Almudevar
15%
Draws
46%
CF Illueca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Illueca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Almudevar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Almudevar Clean Sheet 18%
CF Illueca Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almudevar CF Illueca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.14 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs CF Illueca
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CF Illueca vs Almudevar
0:1
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CF Illueca vs Almudevar
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs CF Illueca
0:1
Jan 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CF Illueca vs Almudevar
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almudevar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

CF Illueca Compare

Top Goalscorer Sow S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almudevar 32 / 100
CF Illueca 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almudevar CF Illueca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Illueca let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Almudevar found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Almudevar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Almudevar VS CF Illueca
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Almudevar

(Home)
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
10 May
Almudevar
3 : 2
Huesca B
03 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 0
Almudevar
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1
CF Illueca
19 Apr
CD Caspe
2 : 0
Almudevar
Page 1 of 6

CF Illueca

(Away)
06 Sept
CF Illueca
0 : 2
CD Cuarte
10 May
Tamarite
0 : 1
CF Illueca
03 May
CF Illueca
2 : 3
Atletico Monzon
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1
CF Illueca
19 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 1
CD Carinena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)