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Alondras vs Arzua

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
Alondras Logo

Alondras

0 - 0
FT
Arzua Logo

Arzua

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 game between Alondras and Arzua finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Alondras
15%
Draws
21%
Arzua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alondras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Alondras carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alondras a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Alondras Clean Sheet 17%
Arzua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alondras Arzua
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.35 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Arzua
0:0
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Alondras
3:4
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Arzua
3:1
Nov 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Alondras
2:1
Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Arzua
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alondras 84 / 100
Arzua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alondras Arzua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alondras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arzua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Alondras scored in 78% of their last 37 games.

Solid form: Alondras remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alondras VS Arzua
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alondras

(Home)
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Antela
0 : 2
Alondras
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
Page 1 of 8

Arzua

(Away)
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
11 May
Arzua
1 : 0
Silva SD
05 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
01 May
Arzua
1 : 2
Lugo B
27 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 0
Arzua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 34 21 10 3 49:19 73
2 Gran Pena 34 15 16 3 48:30 61
3 Arosa SC 34 15 13 6 39:23 58
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 47:34 55
5 Sarriana 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
6 Atletico Arteixo 34 11 14 9 46:39 47
7 Somozas 34 12 9 13 43:39 45
8 Estradense 34 11 12 11 31:32 45
9 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 14 10 33:34 44
10 Viveiro 34 12 8 14 39:42 44
11 Alondras 34 10 14 10 37:36 44
12 Silva SD 34 11 10 13 35:35 43
13 Lugo B 34 11 10 13 32:34 43
14 Betanzos CF 34 10 13 11 35:31 43
15 Rapido de Bouzas 34 11 9 14 38:40 42
16 Paiosaco 34 10 11 13 30:42 41
17 Pontevedra B 34 7 5 22 27:65 26
18 Arzua 34 4 6 24 24:66 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)