Sport Picks
Match Events
40'
40'
Iglesias A.
60'
60'
Pedrosa D.
62'
62'
Camba L.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Alondras and Estradense finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alondras
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Estradense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Alondras a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Alondras Clean Sheet 13%
Estradense Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alondras | Estradense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.07 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Estradense
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Alondras
4:0
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Alondras
0:1
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Estradense
0:2
Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Alondras
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alondras Compare
Top Goalscorer Iglesias A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Camba L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.54
Estradense Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedrosa D.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alondras 40 / 100
Estradense 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alondras Estradense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alondras found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Estradense has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Alondras went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alondras VS Estradense
1.14 Goals Scored 1.5
1.86 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Alondras
(Home) 05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6 Pontevedra B
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2 Alondras
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2 Viveiro
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4 Lugo B
19 Apr
Gran Pena
0 : 2 Alondras
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6 Pontevedra B
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2 Viveiro
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4 Lugo B
12 Apr
Alondras
1 : 1 Silva SD
29 Mar
Alondras
3 : 3 Cambados
Page 1 of 3
Estradense
(Away) 06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3 Sarriana
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2 Estradense
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0 Arzua
08 Aug
Estradense
0 : 5 Pontevedra
23 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2 Estradense
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2 Estradense
23 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2 Estradense
01 May
Compostela
2 : 1 Estradense
12 Apr
Montaneros
0 : 1 Estradense
28 Mar
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 1 Estradense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arosa SC | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 58:35 | 70 |
| 2 | Compostela | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 4 | Estradense | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 46:33 | 53 |
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 36:29 | 52 |
| 6 | Gran Pena | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 57:42 | 51 |
| 7 | Somozas | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 37:32 | 51 |
| 8 | CD Boiro | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 45:29 | 51 |
| 9 | Lugo B | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 41:35 | 48 |
| 10 | Montaneros | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 48:42 | 48 |
| 11 | Barco | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | 46 |
| 12 | Alondras | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 47:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 27:41 | 38 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:48 | 36 |
| 16 | Cambados | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 24:43 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 28:57 | 25 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25:69 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
