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Alondras vs Pontevedra B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Aspas A.
45' Event
Quinteiro L.
50' Event
Eduardo A.

AI Match Summary

Pontevedra B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pontevedra B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Alondras
15%
Draws
37%
Pontevedra B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alondras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Alondras have won more games recently than Pontevedra B.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Alondras Clean Sheet 15%
Pontevedra B Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alondras Pontevedra B
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.39 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.42 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Pontevedra B
2:6
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra B vs Alondras
2:0
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Pontevedra B
1:1
Apr 17, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra B vs Alondras
1:2
Nov 20, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Pontevedra B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alondras Compare

Top Goalscorer Aspas A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quinteiro L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Pontevedra B Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isma
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alondras 31 / 100
Pontevedra B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alondras Pontevedra B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontevedra B has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Alondras found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Alondras stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alondras VS Pontevedra B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Alondras

(Home)
03 Oct
Alondras
0 : 1
Montaneros
26 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 4
Alondras
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Antela
0 : 2
Alondras
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
Page 1 of 7

Pontevedra B

(Away)
04 Oct
Barco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
27 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 0
Arenteiro
20 Sept
Somozas
1 : 1
Pontevedra B
13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2
Gran Pena
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
2 Barco 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
3 Lalin 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Antela 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Sarriana 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
6 Racing Club Villalbes 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Alondras 5 3 0 2 10:9 9
8 Pontevedra B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
9 Portonovo SD 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Gran Pena 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Estradense 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
12 Celtiga 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Somozas 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Atletico Arteixo 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Silva SD 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
16 Viveiro 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
17 Arenteiro 5 1 0 4 4:7 3
18 Montaneros 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)