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Alondras vs SD Negreira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Alondras and SD Negreira finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Alondras
15%
Draws
34%
SD Negreira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alondras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Alondras carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alondras's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Alondras Clean Sheet 16%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alondras SD Negreira
Matches Played 37 32
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.41 1
Goals Conceded 1.49 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Alondras
0:0
Sep 3, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs SD Negreira
2:0
Apr 9, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs SD Negreira
2:2
Nov 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Alondras
2:0
Mar 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Alondras
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alondras 57 / 100
SD Negreira 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alondras SD Negreira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alondras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alondras scored in 78% of their last 37 games.

SD Negreira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Alondras stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alondras VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alondras

(Home)
03 Oct
Alondras
0 : 1
Montaneros
26 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 4
Alondras
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Antela
0 : 2
Alondras
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
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SD Negreira

(Away)
28 Oct
SD Negreira
0 : 3
Real Sociedad
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0
Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1
SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2
SD Negreira
06 May
SD Negreira
2 : 1
Somozas
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