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Alondras vs Silva SD

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Mira A. R.
90' Event
Aspas A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Alondras and Silva SD finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Alondras
20%
Draws
52%
Silva SD
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Silva SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Silva SD haven't matched Alondras's recent run of results.
  • Silva SD are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Alondras Clean Sheet 10%
Silva SD Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alondras Silva SD
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.28 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Silva SD
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Alondras
0:3
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Silva SD
3:1
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Alondras
1:1
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Silva SD
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alondras Compare

Top Goalscorer Aspas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Silva SD Compare

Top Goalscorer Mira A. R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alondras 10 / 100
Silva SD 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alondras Silva SD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Silva SD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alondras scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Silva SD conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Alondras remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alondras VS Silva SD
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Alondras

(Home)
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Gran Pena
0 : 2
Alondras
Page 1 of 6

Silva SD

(Away)
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
09 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Silva SD
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
26 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 3
Silva SD
19 Apr
Silva SD
3 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)