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Alondras vs Viveiro

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Cruz A.
76' Event
Calvo A.
87' Event
Garcia J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Alondras and Viveiro finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Viveiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Alondras
15%
Draws
21%
Viveiro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alondras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alondras come out ahead of Viveiro on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Alondras taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Alondras Clean Sheet 19%
Viveiro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alondras Viveiro
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.41 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Viveiro
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Alondras
2:2
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Viveiro
4:0
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Alondras
2:3
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Alondras
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alondras Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Viveiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Calvo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alondras 67 / 100
Viveiro 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alondras Viveiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alondras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alondras scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Viveiro let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Alondras remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alondras VS Viveiro
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alondras

(Home)
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Antela
0 : 2
Alondras
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
Page 1 of 6

Viveiro

(Away)
20 Sept
Viveiro
0 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
13 Sept
Sarriana
2 : 0
Viveiro
06 Sept
Viveiro
0 : 1
Antela
10 May
Viveiro
0 : 1
Compostela
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)