Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alsager vs Lower Breck

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
62' Event
73' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Alsager and Lower Breck finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lower Breck.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Alsager
20%
Draws
65%
Lower Breck
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lower Breck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lower Breck come out ahead of Alsager on wins alone.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Lower Breck taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Alsager Clean Sheet 10%
Lower Breck Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alsager Lower Breck
Matches Played 10 8
Wins 0 5
Draws 3 0
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 0.7 2.13
Goals Conceded 3.4 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Alsager vs Lower Breck
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alsager 10 / 100
Lower Breck 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alsager Lower Breck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lower Breck Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Alsager found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (10 games).

Lower Breck has conceded goals in 38% of their last 8 outings.

Recent resilience: Alsager stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alsager VS Lower Breck
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
3.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alsager

(Home)
22 Jul
Alsager
0 : 0
Nantwich
13 Jul
Stockport Town
3 : 3
Alsager
09 Jul
Alsager
0 : 4
Lower Breck
06 Jul
Alsager
0 : 3
FC Congleton Town
09 Jul
Alsager
0 : 7
Leek Town
Page 1 of 2

Lower Breck

(Away)
29 Aug
Lower Breck
4 : 0
North Ferriby FC
04 Oct
Stockton
2 : 0
Lower Breck
19 Sept
Stalybridge
0 : 3
Lower Breck
07 Sept
Pontefract Collieries
0 : 2
Lower Breck
19 Jul
Lower Breck
2 : 3
Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 2