Sport Picks
ALSS Luxembourg vs FC Marisca Mersch Prediction & H2H Stats
Luxembourg
Luxembourg Cup 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-4, with FC Marisca Mersch advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
22%
45%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC Marisca Mersch
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and FC Marisca Mersch come out ahead of ALSS Luxembourg on wins alone.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on ALSS Luxembourg taking it.
- FC Marisca Mersch arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor FC Marisca Mersch, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
ALSS Luxembourg Clean Sheet 10%
FC Marisca Mersch Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | ALSS Luxembourg | FC Marisca Mersch |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 4 | 30 |
| Wins | 1 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.75 | 2.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 21, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
ALSS Luxembourg vs FC Marisca Mersch
2:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
ALSS Luxembourg 47 / 100
FC Marisca Mersch 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
ALSS Luxembourg FC Marisca Mersch
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ALSS Luxembourg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Marisca Mersch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.
ALSS Luxembourg scored in 75% of their last 4 games.
Solid form: ALSS Luxembourg remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
ALSS Luxembourg VS FC Marisca Mersch
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
ALSS Luxembourg
(Home) 20 Sept
ALSS Luxembourg
1 : 3 Bissen
21 Sept
ALSS Luxembourg
2 : 4 FC Marisca Mersch
29 Oct
ALSS Luxembourg
0 : 3 Racing Luxembourg
01 Oct
ALSS Luxembourg
2 : 1 Avenir Beggen
20 Sept
ALSS Luxembourg
1 : 3 Bissen
21 Sept
ALSS Luxembourg
2 : 4 FC Marisca Mersch
29 Oct
ALSS Luxembourg
0 : 3 Racing Luxembourg
01 Oct
ALSS Luxembourg
2 : 1 Avenir Beggen
FC Marisca Mersch
(Away) 20 Sept
Sporting Bertrange
3 : 2 FC Marisca Mersch
26 Jul
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1 FC Marisca Mersch
18 Jul
FC Marisca Mersch
2 : 2 Ettelbruck
09 Nov
Wiltz
6 : 0 FC Marisca Mersch
21 Sept
ALSS Luxembourg
2 : 4 FC Marisca Mersch
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sporting Bertrange
3 : 2 FC Marisca Mersch
26 Jul
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1 FC Marisca Mersch
09 Nov
Wiltz
6 : 0 FC Marisca Mersch
21 Sept
ALSS Luxembourg
2 : 4 FC Marisca Mersch
10 Nov
Kaerjeng
2 : 1 FC Marisca Mersch
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Ehlerange 0
Differdange 9
Jeunesse Schieren 0
Union Titus Petange 4
Les Aiglons Dalheim 2
The Belval Belvaux 6
Grevenmacher 0
UNA Strassen 3
Kehlen 2
Ettelbruck 3
Echternach 0
Racing Luxembourg 7
FC Munsbach 3
FC Residence Walferdange 1
US Sandweiler 2
Jeunesse Canach 5
Avenir Beggen 2
Rumelange 3
Jeunesse Biwer 1
Fola 4
Oberkorn 0
Hesperange 3
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf 0
Hostert 4
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Koeppchen 0
FC Schengen 2
Luxembourg City 4
Gasperich 0
Lorentzweiler 1
US Folschette 0
FC Rodange 91 5
Union Remich/Bous 1
Dudelange 3
FC Noertzange HF 0
Bissen 9
FC Kopstal 33 1
Berdenia Berbourg 2
CS Sanem 1
Mondorf 6
Olympia Christnach/Waldbillig 2
Wiltz 6
ALSS Luxembourg 2
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Syra Mensdorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Miniere Lasauvage 2
US Feulen 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Bettembourg 6
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Schifflange 2
Mertzig 2
Alisontia Steinsel 3
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 1
FC Mamer 2
Lintgen 0
Kaerjeng 3
FF Norden 1
Mondercange 4
US Moutfort/Medingen 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/16-finals
Differdange 2
Union Titus Petange 1
The Belval Belvaux 2
UNA Strassen 4
Ettelbruck 2
Racing Luxembourg 3
FC Munsbach 2
Jeunesse Canach 3
Rumelange 2
Fola 4
Hesperange 0
Hostert 3
FC Koerich/Simmern 0
Luxembourg City 2
Lorentzweiler 2
FC Rodange 91 4
Dudelange 1
Bissen 4
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Mondorf 2
Wiltz 6
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
Jeunesse Esch 0
US Feulen 2
Bettembourg 1
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Alisontia Steinsel 2
FC Mamer 2
Kaerjeng 0
Mondercange 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/8-finals
Differdange 4
UNA Strassen 3
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
Fola 3
Hostert 1
Luxembourg City 0
FC Rodange 91 2
Bissen 2
Mondorf 1
Wiltz 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
US Feulen 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
FC Mamer 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Quarter-finals
Differdange 2
Racing Luxembourg 0
Fola 0
FC Rodange 91 1
Bissen 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
US Feulen 1
Victoria Rosport 2
Semi-finals
Differdange 2
FC Rodange 91 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Final
Differdange 4
Victoria Rosport 1
