Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025

Alsterbruder

0 - 3

HEBC Hamburg

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Schmidt R.

45'

Lemke F.

74'

Buttler J.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025 game between Alsterbruder and HEBC Hamburg finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HEBC Hamburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Alsterbruder

33%

Draws

27%

HEBC Hamburg

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Alsterbruder

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Alsterbruder haven't matched HEBC Hamburg's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Alsterbruder's way, sitting at 40%.
Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors HEBC Hamburg here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Alsterbruder Clean Sheet 19%

HEBC Hamburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alsterbruder	HEBC Hamburg
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	6	12
Draws	4	7
Losses	20	13
Goals Scored	0	1.38
Goals Conceded	0	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg

Alsterbruder vs HEBC Hamburg

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

0:3

Sep 8, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg

HEBC Hamburg vs Alsterbruder

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

4:0

Mar 3, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg

Alsterbruder vs HEBC Hamburg

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Sep 17, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg

HEBC Hamburg vs Alsterbruder

Possession: 40% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alsterbruder Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

HEBC Hamburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Schmidt R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lemke F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alsterbruder 40 / 100

HEBC Hamburg 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alsterbruder HEBC Hamburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HEBC Hamburg let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Difficult form: HEBC Hamburg registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Alsterbruder scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS HEBC Hamburg

0 Goals Scored 1.38

0 Goals Conceded 2.38

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 88%

0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Altona	34	25	7	2	99:30	82
2	Dassendorf	34	26	4	4	98:32	82
3	Eimsbutteler	34	22	4	8	96:48	70
4	Paloma	34	22	4	8	84:54	70
5	ETSV Hamburg	34	20	3	11	96:50	63
6	Niendorfer TSV	34	18	7	9	78:44	61
7	HEBC Hamburg	34	16	5	13	56:45	53
8	Vorwarts-Wacker	34	15	5	14	86:97	50
9	TSV Buchholz 08	34	14	4	16	70:76	46
10	Suderelbe	34	13	5	16	70:83	44
11	SC Victoria Hamburg	34	12	5	17	69:73	41
12	Sasel	34	11	7	16	60:73	40
13	Turkiye Wilhelmsburg	34	10	6	18	73:94	36
14	Harksheide	34	9	8	17	63:89	35
15	Halstenbek-Rellingen	34	10	5	19	53:83	35
16	TSV Concordia	34	8	5	21	47:88	29
17	Alsterbruder	34	7	4	23	37:90	25
18	Hamburger III	34	3	2	29	45:131	11