Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alsterbruder vs Sasel Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Guzel E.
72' Event
Guzel E.
86' Event
Ankaoglu A.

AI Match Summary

Sasel in this Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sasel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Alsterbruder
15%
Draws
42%
Sasel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alsterbruder

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sasel lately — more wins on the board than Alsterbruder.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Alsterbruder taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sasel have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Alsterbruder Clean Sheet 10%
Sasel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alsterbruder Sasel
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1.17 2.24
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 2.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Alsterbruder vs Sasel
1:2
Oct 27, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Alsterbruder
1:1
May 17, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Alsterbruder vs Sasel
0:1
Nov 12, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Alsterbruder
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alsterbruder Compare

Top Goalscorer Ankaoglu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Sasel Compare

Top Goalscorer Guzel E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.04
Avg xA / game 1.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alsterbruder 47 / 100
Sasel 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alsterbruder Sasel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alsterbruder Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sasel let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Alsterbruder found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Sasel's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sasel
0 Goals Scored 3.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Alsterbruder

(Home)
16 May
TSV Concordia
2 : 5
Alsterbruder
10 May
Alsterbruder
1 : 4
Paloma
25 Apr
Suderelbe
3 : 2
Alsterbruder
13 Apr
Alsterbruder
1 : 2
Sasel
04 Apr
Eimsbutteler
4 : 2
Alsterbruder
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Sasel

(Away)
27 Sept
Sasel
0 : 1
Vorwarts-Wacker
20 Sept
HT 16
2 : 0
Sasel
13 Sept
Sasel
0 : 3
Niendorfer TSV
06 Sept
Paloma
3 : 2
Sasel
30 Aug
Sasel
3 : 2
Tesla Hamburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 99:30 82
2 Dassendorf 34 26 4 4 98:32 82
3 Eimsbutteler 34 22 4 8 96:48 70
4 Paloma 34 22 4 8 84:54 70
5 ETSV Hamburg 34 20 3 11 96:50 63
6 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 7 9 78:44 61
7 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 5 13 56:45 53
8 Vorwarts-Wacker 34 15 5 14 86:97 50
9 TSV Buchholz 08 34 14 4 16 70:76 46
10 Suderelbe 34 13 5 16 70:83 44
11 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 12 5 17 69:73 41
12 Sasel 34 11 7 16 60:73 40
13 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 10 6 18 73:94 36
14 Harksheide 34 9 8 17 63:89 35
15 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 10 5 19 53:83 35
16 TSV Concordia 34 8 5 21 47:88 29
17 Alsterbruder 34 7 4 23 37:90 25
18 Hamburger III 34 3 2 29 45:131 11
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)