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Stadium Background

Alta W vs Sarpsborg 08 W

Norway Norway

Division 1 Women 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 Women 2011 game between Alta W and Sarpsborg 08 W finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alta W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Alta W
15%
Draws
28%
Sarpsborg 08 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alta W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Sarpsborg 08 W haven't matched Alta W's recent run of results.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on Sarpsborg 08 W taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 Women 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Alta W Clean Sheet 10%
Sarpsborg 08 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alta W Sarpsborg 08 W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 4
Draws 1 4
Losses 22 24
Goals Scored 1.07 1.13
Goals Conceded 3.37 3.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 2.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2012 Division 1 Women
Sarpsborg 08 W vs Alta W
5:0
Jun 24, 2012 Division 1 Women
Alta W vs Sarpsborg 08 W
2:2
Sep 10, 2011 Division 1 Women
Alta W vs Sarpsborg 08 W
4:2
May 21, 2011 Division 1 Women
Sarpsborg 08 W vs Alta W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alta W 10 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alta W Sarpsborg 08 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sarpsborg 08 W conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Sarpsborg 08 W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Alta W scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Alta W VS Sarpsborg 08 W
1.2 Goals Scored 1.13
4.8 Goals Conceded 3.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
60% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Alta W

(Home)
05 Sept
Alta W
0 : 6
Stromsgodset W
12 May
Alta W
0 : 10
Roa W
22 Apr
Alta W
3 : 0
Krokelvdalen W
07 May
Alta W
0 : 8
Lyn W
30 Apr
Alta W
3 : 0
Porsanger W
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Sarpsborg 08 W

(Away)
08 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 W
2 : 6
Grei W
12 May
Sarpsborg 08 W
0 : 2
Honefoss W
22 Apr
Sarpsborg 08 W
2 : 0
Kolbotn W
22 Mar
IFK Goteborg W
1 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 W
07 May
Raufoss W
1 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valerenga W 20 14 3 3 52:22 45
2 Fart W 20 13 3 4 53:25 42
3 Floya W 20 10 5 5 43:26 35
4 Grand Bodo W 20 9 6 5 44:31 33
5 Sarpsborg 08 W 20 8 7 5 42:32 31
6 Avaldsnes W 20 8 5 7 35:37 29
7 Aalesund W 20 7 2 11 42:52 23
8 Voss W 20 4 7 9 16:34 19
9 Sola W 20 3 7 10 24:44 16
10 Alta W 20 3 6 11 25:47 15
11 Haugar W 20 4 3 13 20:46 15
Promotion - Toppserien Women 2012 (Main)