Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Altai vs Ordabasy

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Cup Vostok Stadium, Oskemen
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Dodev D.
Assist: Nazymkhanov A.
11' Event
Johnsen B.
Assist: Antic N.
28' Event
Amir Z.
Assist: Astanov E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Altai
15%
Draws
57%
Ordabasy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ordabasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ordabasy lately — more wins on the board than Altai.
  • Model gives Ordabasy a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Ordabasy arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ordabasy, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ordabasy have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Altai Clean Sheet 10%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altai Ordabasy
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 25
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.29 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Altai vs Ordabasy
1:2
Aug 15, 2026 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Altai
3:1
Jul 15, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Ordabasy vs Altai
3:1
May 10, 2026 Premier League
Altai vs Ordabasy
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altai Compare

Top Goalscorer Dodev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ordabasy Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnsen B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amir Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altai 10 / 100
Ordabasy 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altai Ordabasy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ordabasy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altai's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Ordabasy has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Altai has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Altai VS Ordabasy
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Altai

(Home)
18 Sept
Altai
1 : 2
Ertis Pavlodar
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Altai
2 : 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2
Ordabasy
Page 1 of 7

Ordabasy

(Away)
17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3
Ordabasy
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0
FC Astana
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2
Ordabasy
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Akademiya Ontustik 2
Ordabasy 4
FC Ekibastuz 0
Kaspij Aktau 4
Jas Qyran 0
Atyrau 4
Karshiga Almaty 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1
Arys 0
Aktobe 4
Turan 1
Yelimay Semey 4
Jelaev Nan 0
Altai 2
Taraz 0
Ulytau 1
Talas 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Jaiyq 1
Kairat Almaty 3
BKS 1
FC Astana 2
Ansat 0
Tobol 8
Shakhter Karagandy 2
Okzhetpes 3
Chromtau 1
Zhenis 4
SD Family -
Ertis Pavlodar -
Khan Tengri 0
Kyzylzhar 1
1/8-finals
Ordabasy 3
Kaspij Aktau 0
Atyrau 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2
Aktobe 2
Yelimay Semey 1
Altai 4
Ulytau 3
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Kairat Almaty 1
FC Astana 1
Tobol 2
Okzhetpes 2
Zhenis 3
Ertis Pavlodar 1
Kyzylzhar 2
Quarter-finals
Ordabasy 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0
Aktobe 1
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Tobol 1
Zhenis 2
Kyzylzhar 0
Semi-finals
Ordabasy 5
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 5
Zhenis 4
Final
Ordabasy -
Kaisar Kyzylorda -