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Altamura vs Casarano

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Tonino D'Angelo, Altamura
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Grandolfo F.
23' Event
Versienti L.
36'
Leonetti V.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Altamura and Casarano finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casarano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Altamura
30%
Draws
41%
Casarano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Casarano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Casarano come out ahead of Altamura on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Casarano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Casarano have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Altamura Clean Sheet 10%
Casarano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altamura Casarano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Casarano
0:4
Dec 21, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Altamura
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Casarano vs Altamura
1:0
Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Altamura vs Casarano
1:0
Oct 29, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs Altamura
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altamura Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Casarano Compare

Top Goalscorer Grandolfo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Versienti L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altamura 26 / 100
Casarano 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altamura Casarano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casarano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altamura's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Casarano conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Altamura has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Altamura VS Casarano
0.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 100%
17% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Altamura

(Home)
26 Apr
Altamura
0 : 4
Casarano
19 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1
Altamura
12 Apr
Altamura
1 : 1
Giugliano
06 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 0
Altamura
29 Mar
Altamura
1 : 0
Siracusa
Page 1 of 6

Casarano

(Away)
20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0
Casarano
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3
Union Brescia
13 May
Renate
0 : 3
Casarano
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2
Renate
06 May
Cosenza
1 : 5
Casarano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)