Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Sub
Agostinelli V. In: Florio M.
Out: Agostinelli V.
43'
43'
Heinz J.
45'
45'
Bentivegna A.
AI Match Summary
Casertana in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Casertana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Altamura haven't matched Casertana's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Altamura Clean Sheet 15%
Casertana Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Altamura | Casertana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.60 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 5, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Casertana
0:2
Aug 25, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Altamura
3:1
Mar 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Casertana
2:0
Oct 31, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Altamura
1:1
Feb 6, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Altamura vs Casertana
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Altamura Compare
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3
Casertana Compare
Top Goalscorer Heinz J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bentivegna A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.85
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Altamura 31 / 100
Casertana 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Altamura Casertana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Casertana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Altamura scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Casertana let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Altamura remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Altamura VS Casertana
0.57 Goals Scored 1.63
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.63
71% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Altamura
(Home) 26 Apr
Altamura
0 : 4 Casarano
19 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1 Altamura
12 Apr
Altamura
1 : 1 Giugliano
06 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 0 Altamura
29 Mar
Altamura
1 : 0 Siracusa
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Altamura
0 : 4 Casarano
12 Apr
Altamura
1 : 1 Giugliano
29 Mar
Altamura
1 : 0 Siracusa
15 Mar
Altamura
1 : 2 Catania
05 Mar
Altamura
1 : 0 Foggia
Page 1 of 3
Casertana
(Away) 14 Aug
Casertana
1 : 2 A.C. Savoia
13 May
Salernitana
1 : 1 Casertana
10 May
Casertana
2 : 3 Salernitana
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
03 May
Casertana
1 : 0 Atalanta U23
Page 1 of 6
13 May
Salernitana
1 : 1 Casertana
19 Apr
Latina
2 : 0 Casertana
04 Apr
Cavese
0 : 1 Casertana
21 Mar
Atalanta U23
0 : 2 Casertana
09 Mar
Catania
0 : 0 Casertana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
