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Altglienicke vs Chemie Leipzig - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Hoops T.
37' Event
Hartl J.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost game between Altglienicke and Chemie Leipzig finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Altglienicke
15%
Draws
37%
Chemie Leipzig
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altglienicke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Altglienicke carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Altglienicke Clean Sheet 16%
Chemie Leipzig Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altglienicke Chemie Leipzig
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Altglienicke vs Chemie Leipzig
1:1
Apr 2, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Altglienicke vs Chemie Leipzig
1:1
Oct 3, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Altglienicke
3:0
Mar 30, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Altglienicke vs Chemie Leipzig
2:1
Sep 29, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Altglienicke
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altglienicke Compare

Top Goalscorer Hartl J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Chemie Leipzig Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoops T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altglienicke 30 / 100
Chemie Leipzig 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altglienicke Chemie Leipzig

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altglienicke Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altglienicke scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Chemie Leipzig conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Altglienicke has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Altglienicke VS Chemie Leipzig
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Altglienicke

(Home)
09 Oct
Altglienicke
0 : 1
BFC Dynamo
25 Sept
Magdeburg II
0 : 1
Altglienicke
19 Sept
Altglienicke
3 : 1
Rsv Eintracht
15 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 2
Altglienicke
11 Sept
Altglienicke
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
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Chemie Leipzig

(Away)
09 Oct
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3
Luckenwalde
27 Sept
Aue
1 : 2
Chemie Leipzig
20 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3
Chemnitzer
16 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 5
Chemie Leipzig
12 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
2 : 2
Zwickau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 BFC Dynamo 12 7 3 2 21:12 24
4 Jena 12 7 1 4 21:11 22
5 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
6 Altglienicke 12 6 3 3 20:15 21
7 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Zwickau 12 5 3 4 15:17 18
10 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
11 Magdeburg II 12 4 1 7 21:25 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 12 2 5 5 15:18 11
14 Hertha Berlin II 12 2 4 6 10:22 10
15 Chemie Leipzig 12 2 3 7 13:20 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 Luckenwalde 12 2 0 10 12:29 6
18 SV Tasmania Berlin 12 1 2 9 13:38 5
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)