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Altinordu vs Burdur Mehmet

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2023/2024 Izmir Ataturk Stadyumu
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Altinordu play Burdur Mehmet in the Turkish Cup 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Altinordu averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. Burdur Mehmet averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Altinordu won 0, Burdur Mehmet won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 11, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Altinordu and 1.38 for Burdur Mehmet. This points to a Burdur Mehmet double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Altinordu
23%
Draws
49%
Burdur Mehmet
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Burdur Mehmet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Altinordu picked up more points recently compared to Burdur Mehmet.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Altinordu Clean Sheet 17%
Burdur Mehmet Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altinordu Burdur Mehmet
Matches Played 31 4
Wins 8 2
Draws 8 0
Losses 15 2
Goals Scored 0.97 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2023 Turkish Cup
Altinordu vs Burdur Mehmet
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altinordu 29 / 100
Burdur Mehmet 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altinordu Burdur Mehmet

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Burdur Mehmet or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Altinordu attacking → ← attacking Burdur Mehmet

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altinordu scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Burdur Mehmet let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Altinordu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Burdur Mehmet lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 6
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00