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Altona Magic vs Dandenong City SC

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Paisley Park
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Match Events

21' Event
Arou G.
83'
Ascroft H.

AI Match Summary

Altona Magic in this NPL Victoria matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Altona Magic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Altona Magic
39%
Draws
31%
Dandenong City SC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Altona Magic haven't matched Dandenong City SC's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Altona Magic Clean Sheet 14%
Dandenong City SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altona Magic Dandenong City SC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 NPL Victoria
Altona Magic vs Dandenong City SC
1:0
Jun 20, 2025 NPL Victoria
Dandenong City SC vs Altona Magic
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 NPL Victoria
Altona Magic vs Dandenong City SC
0:0
May 25, 2024 NPL Victoria
Altona Magic vs Dandenong City SC
0:2
Feb 16, 2024 NPL Victoria
Dandenong City SC vs Altona Magic
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altona Magic Compare

Top Goalscorer Arou G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dandenong City SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altona Magic 30 / 100
Dandenong City SC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altona Magic Dandenong City SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altona Magic's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Dandenong City SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Altona Magic has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Altona Magic VS Dandenong City SC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oakleigh Cannons21145244:1847
2Hume City21124540:2540
3Avondale FC21112854:2835
4Preston Lions20123530:1633
5Heidelberg Utd2196633:2633
6South Melbourne21102931:3232
7Melbourne City U212086637:2330
8George Cross2179528:2830
9St Albans2166924:3724
10Altona Magic21651024:3623
11Dandenong City SC2175927:2922
12Bentleigh Greens21541220:4519
13Dandenong Thunder21431423:4615
14Green Gully21341417:4313