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Altrincham vs Southend

England England

National League Moss Lane, Altrincham
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Crawford T.
21'
Hartigan A.
37' Event
Chambers-Parillon L.
Assist: Oldaker D.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Altrincham and Southend finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southend.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Altrincham
20%
Draws
38%
Southend
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Altrincham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Southend come out ahead of Altrincham on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Altrincham taking it.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Altrincham Clean Sheet 10%
Southend Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altrincham Southend
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.22 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 National League
Altrincham vs Southend
1:3
Mar 21, 2026 National League
Altrincham vs Southend
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 National League
Southend vs Altrincham
3:0
Mar 8, 2025 National League
Southend vs Altrincham
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 National League
Altrincham vs Southend
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altrincham Compare

Top Goalscorer Crawford T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Southend Compare

Top Goalscorer Chambers-Parillon L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coker O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altrincham 40 / 100
Southend 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altrincham Southend

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Altrincham scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Southend conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Altrincham remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Altrincham VS Southend
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Altrincham

(Home)
12 Sept
Woking
5 : 1
Altrincham
04 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Eastleigh
31 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 2
Altrincham
28 Aug
Altrincham
2 : 1
Halifax
22 Aug
Boston United
1 : 0
Altrincham
Page 1 of 6

Southend

(Away)
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2
Southend
05 Sept
Southend
3 : 2
Yeovil
31 Aug
Woking
1 : 1
Southend
28 Aug
Southend
1 : 3
Kidderminster
22 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3
Southend
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 7 5 2 0 17:9 17
2 Harrogate 7 5 1 1 18:10 16
3 AFC Fylde 7 4 2 1 17:10 14
4 Kidderminster 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
5 Southend 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
6 Aldershot 7 4 2 1 9:5 14
7 Forest Green 7 4 0 3 11:10 12
8 Hornchurch 7 4 0 3 10:11 12
9 Sutton 7 4 0 3 7:8 12
10 Yeovil 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
11 Eastleigh 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
12 Carlisle 7 2 3 2 15:12 9
13 Halifax 7 3 0 4 12:10 9
14 Hartlepool 7 3 0 4 5:6 9
15 Altrincham 7 3 0 4 8:13 9
16 Worthing FC 7 2 2 3 13:14 8
17 Wealdstone 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
18 Scunthorpe 7 2 1 4 10:12 7
19 Woking 7 2 1 4 9:11 7
20 Boston United 7 2 1 4 9:11 7
21 Barrow 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
22 Tamworth 7 1 2 4 13:19 5
23 Gateshead 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
24 Solihull Moors 7 0 1 6 7:19 1
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
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