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Altyn Asyr vs Ahal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Altyn Asyr host Ahal in the Yokary Liga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Ahal have shipped 1.2 goals a game lately, while Altyn Asyr have conceded 1.38 and scored 2.24. Past meetings favor Altyn Asyr slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 7, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 2.19) point toward Altyn Asyr. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Altyn Asyr
15%
Draws
28%
Ahal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altyn Asyr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Altyn Asyr lately — more wins on the board than Ahal.
  • Win probability leans Altyn Asyr's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Altyn Asyr Clean Sheet 10%
Ahal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altyn Asyr Ahal
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 18
Draws 3 4
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.24 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Yokary Liga
Ahal vs Altyn Asyr
0:2
May 31, 2026 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Ahal
3:3
Apr 22, 2026 Yokary Liga
Ahal vs Altyn Asyr
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Ahal
3:3
Aug 20, 2025 Yokary Liga
Ahal vs Altyn Asyr
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altyn Asyr 74 / 100
Ahal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altyn Asyr Ahal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altyn Asyr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altyn Asyr's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Altyn Asyr went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ahal lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Altyn Asyr VS Ahal
2.38 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Altyn Asyr

(Home)
11 Oct
FC Asgabat
2 : 4
Altyn Asyr
07 Oct
Ahal
0 : 2
Altyn Asyr
19 Sept
Nebitci
1 : 3
Altyn Asyr
12 Sept
Altyn Asyr
2 : 0
Sagadam
22 Aug
Altyn Asyr
2 : 5
Arkadag
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Ahal

(Away)
07 Oct
Ahal
0 : 2
Altyn Asyr
28 Sept
Ahal
0 : 4
Arkadag
19 Sept
FC Asgabat
2 : 5
Ahal
12 Sept
Ahal
3 : 0
Nebitci
05 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Ahal
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