Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana

Europe Europe

Conference League Ljudski vrt, Maribor
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Berisha H.
30'
Simunic D.
46'
Sub
Simunic D. In: Sorensen H.
Out: Simunic D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Aluminij
39%
Draws
30%
Dinamo Tirana
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dinamo Tirana come out ahead of Aluminij on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Dinamo Tirana arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 19%
Dinamo Tirana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aluminij Dinamo Tirana
Matches Played 23 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aluminij Compare

Top Goalscorer Vrbanec M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Dinamo Tirana Compare

Top Goalscorer Berisha H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aluminij 32 / 100
Dinamo Tirana 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aluminij Dinamo Tirana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dinamo Tirana conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Aluminij scored in 57% of their last 23 games.

Solid form: Aluminij remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Dinamo Tirana registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aluminij VS Dinamo Tirana
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aluminij

(Home)
19 Jul
Aluminij
0 : 0
Maribor
16 Jul
Aluminij
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
09 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
0 : 0
Aluminij
02 Jul
Aluminij
1 : 2
Partizan
28 Jun
Aluminij
0 : 2
Noah
Page 1 of 5

Dinamo Tirana

(Away)
16 Jul
FC Astana
1 : 4
Dinamo Tirana
09 Jul
Dinamo Tirana
0 : 1
FC Astana
01 Jul
Struga
1 : 1
Dinamo Tirana
27 Jun
Struga
2 : 3
Dinamo Tirana
23 Jun
Sileks
1 : 2
Dinamo Tirana
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tre Fiori-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Floriana-
TBD-
TBD-
Drita-
Borac Banja Luka-
TBD-
TBD-
Petrocub Hincesti-
ML Vitebsk-
TBD-
TBD-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Inter Escaldes-
Vardar-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
Bissen-
TBD-
TBD-
Gyor-
Basaksehir-
TBD-
FK Sarajevo2
Inter Turku3
Vaduz-
TBD-
Mornar Bar2
Atletic Escaldes4
Mondorf2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Petrovac2
Zalgiris5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Partizan-
TBD-
UNA Strassen3
La Fiorita0
FK Panevezys-
TBD-
TBD-
Tobol-
Paks-
TBD-
TBD-
Panathinaikos-
Spartak Trnava-
TBD-
TBD-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
Vojvodina-
TBD-
TBD-
Ajax-
Shelbourne-
TBD-
Kalju3
Linfield2
FCSB-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Aluminij-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana4
FC Astana2
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
TBD-
Noah-
AF Elbasani1
BATE2
TBD-
Sion-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
TBD-
TBD-
Braga-
Neftci Baku-
TBD-
Din. Minsk2
Sileks1
Valur-
TBD-
TBD-
Zrinjski-
GAIS-
TBD-
TBD-
Nordsjaelland-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
Ludogorets-
Zilina-
TBD-
TBD-
GKS Katowice-
AEK Larnaca-
TBD-
TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Decic1
FK Liepaja3
TBD-
Austria Vienna-
Alashkert4
Yelimay Semey3
TBD-
CFR Cluj-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Universitatea Cluj-
TBD-
TBD-
Brann-
Dila Gori3
Virtus2
TBD-
Apollon Limassol-
Lugano-
TBD-
TBD-
Dukagjini-
NSI Runavik3
Hamrun2
TBD-
Koper-
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
TBD-
Valletta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
HJK-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Motherwell-
TBD-
TBD-
HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva6
TBD-
Hibernian-
Bravo-
TBD-
Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo6
IFK Goteborg-
TBD-
Caernarfon0
Levadia10
LNZ Cherkasy-
TBD-
TBD-
Gent-
FC Hegelmann1
Paide Linnameeskond4
Zira FK6
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma4
TBD-
Rapid Vienna-
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.2
FC Ballkani3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Debrecen-
TBD-
Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan4
Polissya Zhytomyr-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Copenhagen-
Varazdin-
TBD-
TBD-
Jablonec-
Glentoran1
RFS4
TBD-
Vestri-
Rijeka-
TBD-
TBD-
Derry City-
Vikingur3
Stjarnan5
Differdange1
Ilves3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dun. Streda-
TBD-
Velez Mostar2
Milsami1
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Quarter-finals
Tre Fiori-
TBD-
Floriana1
Drita1
Borac Banja Luka-
Petrocub Hincesti-
ML Vitebsk-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TNS-
TBD-
Inter Escaldes-
Vardar2
Riga FC3
Bissen2
Gyor6
Basaksehir1
Inter Turku1
Vaduz-
Atletic Escaldes-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Zalgiris-
TBD-
TBD-
Partizan-
UNA Strassen-
FK Panevezys-
Tobol-
Paks-
Panathinaikos-
Spartak Trnava0
CSKA 1948 Sofia0
Vojvodina-
Ajax-
Shelbourne-
Kalju-
FCSB-
FK Auda Riga-
Aluminij-
Dinamo Tirana-
Zimbru Chisinau-
Noah-
BATE-
Sion-
Zeleznicar Pancevo0
Braga1
Neftci Baku2
Din. Minsk4
Valur-
Zrinjski-
GAIS-
Nordsjaelland-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
Ludogorets-
Zilina-
GKS Katowice-
AEK Larnaca-
Beitar Jerusalem-
FK Liepaja-
Austria Vienna-
Alashkert-
CFR Cluj-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Universitatea Cluj-
Brann-
Dila Gori-
Apollon Limassol-
Lugano-
Dukagjini-
NSI Runavik-
Koper-
Rakow Czestochowa-
Valletta-
TBD-
TBD-
HJK-
Coleraine-
Motherwell-
HB Torshavn-
Malisheva-
Hibernian-
Bravo-
Shkendija Tetovo-
IFK Goteborg1
Levadia2
LNZ Cherkasy-
Gent-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Zira FK-
FC Santa Coloma-
Rapid Vienna-
Bohemians2
FC Ballkani1
TBD-
TBD-
Debrecen-
Pyunik Yerevan-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
FC Copenhagen-
Varazdin-
Jablonec-
RFS-
Vestri-
Rijeka-
Derry City-
Stjarnan-
Ilves-
TBD-
TBD-
Dun. Streda-
Velez Mostar-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Semi-finals
Tre Fiori-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Inter Escaldes-
TBD-
TBD-
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Final
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