Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aluminij vs Primorje

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga 2025/2026 Sportni park Aluminij, Kidricevo
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Pecnik G.
20'
Gulic M.
34'
Jermol N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Prva liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aluminij
20%
Draws
40%
Primorje
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Aluminij have won more games recently than Primorje.
  • Aluminij are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 20%
Primorje Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aluminij Primorje
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 6 5
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 0.89 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Primorje
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 Prva liga
Primorje vs Aluminij
2:0
Nov 28, 2025 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Primorje
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Prva liga
Primorje vs Aluminij
4:1
May 12, 2023 2. SNL
Aluminij vs Primorje
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aluminij 85 / 100
Primorje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aluminij Primorje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aluminij Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Primorje has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Aluminij went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aluminij scored in 44% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aluminij VS Primorje
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aluminij

(Home)
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6
Aluminij
05 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 0
Bravo
02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2
Celje
28 Aug
Aluminij
0 : 1
Koper
21 Aug
Aluminij
4 : 2
Grosuplje
Page 1 of 6

Primorje

(Away)
11 Sept
Primorje
2 : 3
Bilje
04 Sept
Ilirija
0 : 0
Primorje
28 Aug
Primorje
3 : 2
NK Krka
23 Aug
Beltinci
4 : 0
Primorje
15 Aug
Primorje
1 : 0
Jadran Dekani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celje 34 23 5 6 85:32 74
2 Koper 34 20 7 7 71:43 67
3 Bravo 34 19 5 10 62:51 62
4 O. Ljubljana 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
5 Maribor 34 15 8 11 57:43 53
6 Radomlje 34 13 6 15 50:63 45
7 Aluminij 34 10 6 18 42:61 36
8 Mura 34 8 7 19 35:55 31
9 Primorje 34 6 4 24 31:74 22
10 Domzale 18 3 3 12 17:38 12
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL (Main)