Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aluminium Arak vs Chadormalu

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Imam Khomeini, Arak
Thu, Mar 19, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aluminium Arak host Chadormalu in the Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Aluminium Arak have averaged 0.85 scored and 0.89 conceded recently, against Chadormalu's 1 scored and 0.9 conceded. Past meetings favor Chadormalu slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 18, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 0.51) point toward Chadormalu. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Aluminium Arak
35%
Draws
28%
Chadormalu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aluminium Arak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Chadormalu have won more games recently than Aluminium Arak.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Aluminium Arak taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 20%
Chadormalu Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aluminium Arak Chadormalu
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.85 1
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Chadormalu
0:0
Mar 19, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Chadormalu
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Chadormalu vs Aluminium Arak
1:0
Apr 17, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Chadormalu
0:0
Dec 10, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Chadormalu vs Aluminium Arak
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aluminium Arak 85 / 100
Chadormalu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aluminium Arak Chadormalu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aluminium Arak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Aluminium Arak stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Aluminium Arak's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Chadormalu let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aluminium Arak VS Chadormalu
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aluminium Arak

(Home)
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
01 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 2
Aluminium Arak
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2
Kheybar Khorramabad
23 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
1 : 2
Aluminium Arak
18 Aug
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Chadormalu
Page 1 of 6

Chadormalu

(Away)
12 Sept
Sanat Naft
1 : 2
Chadormalu
06 Sept
Chadormalu
1 : 0
Shams Azar Qazvin
01 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1
Chadormalu
28 Aug
Chadormalu
0 : 2
Tractor
24 Aug
Gol Gohar
3 : 0
Chadormalu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteghlal TEH 22 11 8 3 29:16 41
2 Tractor 22 10 9 3 30:12 39
3 Sepahan 22 11 6 5 24:13 39
4 Gol Gohar 23 10 6 7 24:24 36
5 Chadormalu 22 9 8 5 27:19 35
6 Persepolis 22 9 7 6 23:19 34
7 Foolad 22 7 10 5 21:16 31
8 Fajr Sepasi 23 8 6 9 25:27 30
9 Kheybar Khorramabad 23 7 8 8 22:24 29
10 Malavan 22 7 8 7 13:21 29
11 Esteghlal Khuzestan 22 6 7 9 16:23 25
12 Paykan 23 5 9 9 15:21 24
13 Shams Azar Qazvin 23 3 13 7 15:19 22
14 Aluminium Arak 22 5 7 10 14:21 22
15 Zob Ahan 21 3 10 8 12:19 19
16 Mes Rafsanjan 22 3 6 13 13:29 15
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)