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Alumni Los Hornos vs Buenos Aires City

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alumni Los Hornos play Buenos Aires City in the Torneo Promocional Amateur. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alumni Los Hornos averaged 0.57 goals scored and 1 conceded. Buenos Aires City averaged 0.71 goals scored and 0.57 conceded. In past meetings, Alumni Los Hornos won 0, Buenos Aires City won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 6, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.50 for Alumni Los Hornos and 0.76 for Buenos Aires City. This points to a Buenos Aires City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Alumni Los Hornos
35%
Draws
41%
Buenos Aires City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Buenos Aires City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Alumni Los Hornos picked up more points recently compared to Buenos Aires City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.50 vs 0.76 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Alumni Los Hornos Clean Sheet 27%
Buenos Aires City Clean Sheet 23%
First Half Goal 36%
Second Half Goal 38%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alumni Los Hornos Buenos Aires City
Matches Played 7 7
Wins 1 2
Draws 2 3
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 0.57 0.71
Goals Conceded 1 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Alumni Los Hornos vs Buenos Aires City
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alumni Los Hornos 27 / 100
Buenos Aires City 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alumni Los Hornos Buenos Aires City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Buenos Aires City or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +42.8%
7.14
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alumni Los Hornos attacking → ← attacking Buenos Aires City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alumni Los Hornos scored in 43% of their last 7 games.

Buenos Aires City let in goals in 43% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Alumni Los Hornos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Buenos Aires City lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

5 Points in last 5 9
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Deportivo Metalurgico650111:315
2Social Atletico Television65017:215
3Nautico Hacoaj63217:311
4Defensores de Glew631214:710
5Estrella de Berisso62226:68
6Provincial61143:94
7Atletico Pilar61054:113
8Juventud de Bernal61054:153
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barrancas85129:616
2Uribelarrea74217:314
3Academia Control Orientado732210:811
4Buenos Aires City72325:49
5Belgrano Zarate72323:39
6Ezeiza72325:69
7Everton La Plata72235:68
8Las Mandarinas72056:116
9Alumni Los Hornos71244:75