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Alumni Los Hornos vs Las Mandarinas

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Alumni Los Hornos host Las Mandarinas in the Torneo Promocional Amateur. Little to choose between these two on current form. Las Mandarinas have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Alumni Los Hornos have conceded 0.88 and scored 0.63. Past meetings favor Las Mandarinas slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 0.88, favoring Las Mandarinas. Las Mandarinas in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Alumni Los Hornos
30%
Draws
34%
Las Mandarinas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alumni Los Hornos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Las Mandarinas demonstrates higher offensive output (0.88 avg goals) than Alumni Los Hornos (0.63 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Alumni Los Hornos.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Torneo Promocional Amateur provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Alumni Los Hornos Clean Sheet 68%
Las Mandarinas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alumni Los Hornos Las Mandarinas
Matches Played 8 8
Wins 2 2
Draws 2 1
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Alumni Los Hornos vs Las Mandarinas
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alumni Los Hornos 46 / 100
Las Mandarinas 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alumni Los Hornos Las Mandarinas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alumni Los Hornos scored in 50% of their last 8 games.

Las Mandarinas let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Alumni Los Hornos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Las Mandarinas lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alumni Los Hornos VS Las Mandarinas
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Social Atletico Television760111:218
2Deportivo Metalurgico751112:416
3Nautico Hacoaj742110:314
4Defensores de Glew732214:711
5Estrella de Berisso72236:108
6Atletico Pilar71155:124
7Provincial61053:123
8Juventud de Bernal61054:153
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barrancas85129:616
2Academia Control Orientado842211:814
3Uribelarrea83325:312
4Belgrano Zarate82424:410
5Buenos Aires City72325:49
6Ezeiza72325:69
7Everton La Plata82245:78
8Alumni Los Hornos82245:78
9Las Mandarinas82246:108