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Alushta vs FC Sevastopol

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea) 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Pogrebnyak I.
57'
Naumenko S.
59'
Sub
Myzgin V. In: Yunusov K.
Out: Myzgin V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League (Crimea) 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Alushta
6%
Draws
90%
FC Sevastopol
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Sevastopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Sevastopol lately — more wins on the board than Alushta.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FC Sevastopol taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Alushta Clean Sheet 10%
FC Sevastopol Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alushta FC Sevastopol
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 22
Draws 4 10
Losses 19 2
Goals Scored 0 2.75
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2023 Premier League (Crimea)
Alushta vs FC Sevastopol
2:2
Apr 19, 2023 Premier League (Crimea)
FC Sevastopol vs Alushta
1:1
Oct 22, 2022 Premier League (Crimea)
FC Sevastopol vs Alushta
2:0
Sep 3, 2022 Premier League (Crimea)
Alushta vs FC Sevastopol
2:3
May 22, 2022 Premier League (Crimea)
Alushta vs FC Sevastopol
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alushta Compare

Top Goalscorer Yurchenko I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FC Sevastopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Rybolovlev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mironenko V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alushta 10 / 100
FC Sevastopol 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alushta FC Sevastopol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Alushta scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

FC Sevastopol has conceded goals in 56% of their last 34 outings.

FC Sevastopol lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Sevastopol
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%