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Alvarado vs Cipolletti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Alvarado have averaged 1.18 scored and 0.68 conceded recently, against Cipolletti's 1.25 scored and 0.89 conceded. Past meetings favor Alvarado slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.88, favoring Alvarado. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alvarado
30%
Draws
39%
Cipolletti
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cipolletti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Alvarado have managed 1.18 goals a game lately — Cipolletti are scoring more at 1.25.
  • Model gives Cipolletti a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Alvarado, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Alvarado Clean Sheet 20%
Cipolletti Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alvarado Cipolletti
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.18 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.68 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Torneo Federal
Cipolletti vs Alvarado
1:0
Nov 2, 2018 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Cipolletti
1:1
Sep 15, 2018 Torneo Federal
Cipolletti vs Alvarado
0:1
Nov 29, 2017 Torneo Federal
Cipolletti vs Alvarado
1:0
Oct 15, 2017 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Cipolletti
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alvarado 24 / 100
Cipolletti 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alvarado Cipolletti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cipolletti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alvarado scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Cipolletti let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Alvarado remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alvarado VS Cipolletti
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alvarado

(Home)
04 Oct
Alvarado
2 : 0
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2
Alvarado
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
13 Sept
Cipolletti
1 : 0
Alvarado
06 Sept
Alvarado
3 : 2
Biblioteca Atenas
Page 1 of 6

Cipolletti

(Away)
04 Oct
Cipolletti
6 : 1
Sol de America
27 Sept
Sol de America
1 : 0
Cipolletti
19 Sept
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 2
Cipolletti
13 Sept
Cipolletti
1 : 0
Alvarado
06 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 1
Cipolletti
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
San Martin Formosa 2
Biblioteca Atenas 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 4
Alvarado 4
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 2
Cipolletti 6
Sol de America 2
Semi-finals
San Martin Formosa -
Olimpo Bahia Blanca -
Alvarado -
Cipolletti -
Final
TBD -
TBD -