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Alvarado vs Huracan Las Heras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Sosa G.
32'
Arciero R.
40'
Sub
Gutierrez S. In: Miori M.
Out: Gutierrez S.

AI Match Summary

Alvarado in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alvarado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Alvarado
30%
Draws
23%
Huracan Las Heras
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alvarado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alvarado lately — more wins on the board than Huracan Las Heras.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Alvarado taking it.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%
Alvarado Clean Sheet 68%
Huracan Las Heras Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alvarado Huracan Las Heras
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.17 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Huracan Las Heras
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alvarado 95 / 100
Huracan Las Heras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alvarado Huracan Las Heras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alvarado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alvarado found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Alvarado remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Huracan Las Heras registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Huracan Las Heras has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alvarado VS Huracan Las Heras
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alvarado

(Home)
04 Oct
Alvarado
2 : 0
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2
Alvarado
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
13 Sept
Cipolletti
1 : 0
Alvarado
06 Sept
Alvarado
3 : 2
Biblioteca Atenas
Page 1 of 6

Huracan Las Heras

(Away)
10 Oct
Juventud Antoniana
3 : 0
Huracan Las Heras
20 Sept
Huracan Las Heras
1 : 0
Biblioteca Atenas
13 Sept
Kimberley
0 : 0
Huracan Las Heras
06 Sept
Huracan Las Heras
1 : 2
Argentino MM
30 Aug
Villa Mitre
3 : 0
Huracan Las Heras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 8 5 2 1 14:5 17
2 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 8 4 3 1 6:2 15
3 Sol de America 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 8 4 1 3 6:3 13
5 Douglas Haig 8 3 3 2 12:7 12
6 9 de Julio Rafaela 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
7 Bartolome Mitre 8 1 2 5 3:10 5
8 Sarmiento de La Banda 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
9 Sportivo Belgrano 8 1 2 5 3:14 5
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alvarado 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Cipolletti 8 4 3 1 10:7 15
3 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 8 3 4 1 7:4 13
4 Biblioteca Atenas 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
5 Kimberley 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
6 Argentino MM 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
7 Villa Mitre 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
8 Huracan Las Heras 8 2 1 5 3:8 7
9 Juventud Antoniana 8 0 2 6 1:12 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)