Sport Picks
Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata 
Match Events
69'
69'
Sub
Perez M. In: Speck N.
Out: Perez M.
73'
73'
Sub
Vargas M. In: Susvielles J.
Out: Vargas M.
77'
77'
Gutierrez S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Olimpo Bahia Blanca have won more games recently than Alvarado.
- Alvarado are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Alvarado Clean Sheet 68%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alvarado | Olimpo Bahia Blanca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.68 | 0.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1:1
May 24, 2026 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 Torneo Federal
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Alvarado
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alvarado Compare
Top Goalscorer Gutierrez S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alvarado 50 / 100
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alvarado Olimpo Bahia Blanca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alvarado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alvarado found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Alvarado stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca let in goals in 39% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Alvarado VS Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Alvarado
(Home) 04 Oct
Alvarado
2 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2 Alvarado
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
13 Sept
Cipolletti
1 : 0 Alvarado
06 Sept
Alvarado
3 : 2 Biblioteca Atenas
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Alvarado
2 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
06 Sept
Alvarado
3 : 2 Biblioteca Atenas
23 Aug
Alvarado
1 : 1 Argentino MM
12 Aug
Alvarado
1 : 0 Huracan Las Heras
Page 1 of 3
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
(Away) 04 Oct
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 2 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
27 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
06 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 1 Cipolletti
30 Aug
Biblioteca Atenas
1 : 0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 2 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
30 Aug
Biblioteca Atenas
1 : 0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
16 Aug
Argentino MM
1 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
08 Aug
Huracan Las Heras
0 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Douglas Haig | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 12 |
| 7 | Bartolome Mitre | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 8 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
| 9 | Sportivo Belgrano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:14 | 5 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alvarado | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Cipolletti | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Biblioteca Atenas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Kimberley | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Argentino MM | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Villa Mitre | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 8 | Huracan Las Heras | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Juventud Antoniana | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1:12 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
