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Alvdal vs Moelven

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2012 game between Alvdal and Moelven finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Alvdal
15%
Draws
85%
Moelven
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moelven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Moelven carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Moelven are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Alvdal Clean Sheet 10%
Moelven Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alvdal Moelven
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 25 18
Goals Scored 1.22 1.53
Goals Conceded 4.53 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2015 Division 3 - Group 9
Alvdal vs Moelven
4:2
May 29, 2015 Division 3 - Group 9
Moelven vs Alvdal
2:2
Sep 2, 2012 Division 3 - Group 4
Alvdal vs Moelven
3:3
May 19, 2012 Division 3 - Group 4
Moelven vs Alvdal
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alvdal 10 / 100
Moelven 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alvdal Moelven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moelven Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moelven has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Alvdal scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Moelven lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alvdal VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
7.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alvdal

(Home)
22 Oct
Alvdal
0 : 2
Faaberg
15 Oct
Redalen
7 : 1
Alvdal
08 Oct
Alvdal
0 : 2
Raufoss 2
01 Oct
Alvdal
0 : 3
Lillehammer
26 Sept
Gjovik-Lyn 2
10 : 2
Alvdal
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Moelven

(Away)
24 Oct
Moelven
1 : 0
Buvik
17 Oct
Gjovik-Lyn 2
5 : 2
Moelven
10 Oct
Moelven
1 : 3
Flisa
03 Oct
Tynset
3 : 0
Moelven
26 Sept
Moelven
2 : 4
FK Kvik
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