Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Mills A.
81'
81'
Pearce K.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alvechurch
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Alvechurch haven't matched Leiston's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Alvechurch's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Alvechurch Clean Sheet 20%
Leiston Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alvechurch | Leiston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Leiston
1:1
Jan 20, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Alvechurch
3:3
Mar 22, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Leiston
1:1
Nov 12, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Alvechurch
2:1
Feb 24, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Alvechurch
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alvechurch Compare
Top Goalscorer Pearce K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Leiston Compare
Top Goalscorer Mills A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alvechurch 36 / 100
Leiston 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alvechurch Leiston
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Alvechurch scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Leiston conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
Solid form: Alvechurch remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Alvechurch VS Leiston
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Alvechurch
(Home) 13 Jul
Boldmere St Michaels
2 : 3 Alvechurch
11 Jul
Alvechurch
1 : 1 Solihull Moors
25 Apr
Alvechurch
1 : 1 Leiston
18 Apr
Real Bedford
3 : 2 Alvechurch
11 Apr
Alvechurch
1 : 0 Royston Town
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Alvechurch
1 : 1 Solihull Moors
25 Apr
Alvechurch
1 : 1 Leiston
11 Apr
Alvechurch
1 : 0 Royston Town
03 Apr
Alvechurch
2 : 1 Barwell
24 Mar
Alvechurch
1 : 1 St Ives Town
Page 1 of 3
Leiston
(Away) 10 Jul
Aveley
2 : 4 Leiston
25 Apr
Alvechurch
1 : 1 Leiston
18 Apr
Leiston
2 : 2 Spalding United
14 Apr
Real Bedford
0 : 1 Leiston
11 Apr
Quorn
1 : 2 Leiston
Page 1 of 7
10 Jul
Aveley
2 : 4 Leiston
25 Apr
Alvechurch
1 : 1 Leiston
14 Apr
Real Bedford
0 : 1 Leiston
11 Apr
Quorn
1 : 2 Leiston
03 Apr
Redditch
4 : 1 Leiston
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)