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Alvechurch vs Needham Market

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Neal J.
90' Event
Guinan Z.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central game between Alvechurch and Needham Market finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alvechurch
40%
Draws
29%
Needham Market
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Alvechurch haven't matched Needham Market's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Alvechurch Clean Sheet 20%
Needham Market Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alvechurch Needham Market
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Needham Market
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Alvechurch
1:0
Dec 23, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Needham Market
0:3
Aug 26, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Alvechurch
2:0
Apr 7, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Needham Market
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alvechurch Compare

Top Goalscorer Guinan Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Needham Market Compare

Top Goalscorer Neal J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alvechurch 32 / 100
Needham Market 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alvechurch Needham Market

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alvechurch's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Needham Market has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Alvechurch remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alvechurch VS Needham Market
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Harborough422811381:3395
2Spalding United4225107103:5485
3Real Bedford42249984:4781
4Kettering422191274:5272
5Halesowen4220101285:6070
6Needham Market4220101264:5370
7Redditch422171467:5870
8Quorn421981578:7165
9Worcester4217121364:4463
10Leiston4216151165:5863
11Stratford4217101561:5461
12Banbury421791651:5660
13Bury Town4215131461:5358
14Alvechurch421482049:5550
15Stourbridge4212141658:6850
16Stortford4213101953:6749
17Stamford421382141:6447
18Bromsgrove421282252:7344
19St Ives Town429122150:7339
20Barwell42982552:8535
21Royston Town425102735:8225
22Sudbury42672947:11525