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Alvechurch vs Wigan U23

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Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alvechurch play Wigan U23 in the Club Friendly 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alvechurch averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Wigan U23 averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Alvechurch won 0, Wigan U23 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 20, 2022 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Alvechurch and 1.38 for Wigan U23. This points to a Wigan U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alvechurch
20%
Draws
49%
Wigan U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wigan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Alvechurch picked up more points recently compared to Wigan U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Alvechurch Clean Sheet 17%
Wigan U23 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alvechurch Wigan U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.41

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2022 Club Friendly
Alvechurch vs Wigan U23
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alvechurch Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Wigan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stones J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alvechurch 31 / 100
Wigan U23 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alvechurch Wigan U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wigan U23 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alvechurch attacking → ← attacking Wigan U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alvechurch scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Wigan U23 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Alvechurch went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Wigan U23 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 44
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00