Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Okafor M.
22'
22'
Salmon F.
34'
34'
Lockett L.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central game between Alvechurch and Worcester finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alvechurch.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alvechurch
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Alvechurch come out ahead of Worcester on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Alvechurch's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Alvechurch have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Alvechurch Clean Sheet 68%
Worcester Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alvechurch | Worcester |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Worcester
3:1
Nov 25, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Worcester
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 FA Trophy
Alvechurch vs Worcester
1:0
Sep 23, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Worcester vs Alvechurch
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alvechurch Compare
Top Goalscorer Okafor M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ilesanmi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Worcester Compare
Top Goalscorer Lockett L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alvechurch 68 / 100
Worcester 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alvechurch Worcester
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alvechurch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Alvechurch scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Worcester's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.
Alvechurch went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alvechurch VS Worcester
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Alvechurch
(Home) 29 Sept
Alvechurch
0 : 0 Stourbridge
26 Sept
Alvechurch
1 : 2 Bourne
22 Sept
Anstey Nomads
2 : 2 Alvechurch
19 Sept
Alvechurch
3 : 1 Racing Club Warwick
12 Sept
Alvechurch
4 : 0 Stamford
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Alvechurch
0 : 0 Stourbridge
26 Sept
Alvechurch
1 : 2 Bourne
19 Sept
Alvechurch
3 : 1 Racing Club Warwick
12 Sept
Alvechurch
4 : 0 Stamford
05 Sept
Alvechurch
2 : 0 Wolverhampton City
Page 1 of 3
Worcester
(Away) 29 Sept
Racing Club Warwick
2 : 2 Worcester
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2 Leek Town
22 Sept
Worcester
0 : 0 Banbury
18 Sept
Worcester
2 : 1 Stratford
12 Sept
Needham Market
2 : 0 Worcester
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Racing Club Warwick
2 : 2 Worcester
12 Sept
Needham Market
2 : 0 Worcester
05 Sept
Knowle
1 : 1 Worcester
29 Aug
Leamington
1 : 1 Worcester
15 Aug
Leighton Town
2 : 1 Worcester
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 29:10 | 27 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 22 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 20 |
| 5 | Kettering | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:6 | 18 |
| 6 | Anstey Nomads | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Rushall | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Needham Market | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Peterborough Sports | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Halesowen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 11 | Leiston | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 11 |
| 12 | Redditch | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Stourbridge | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Stortford | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 16 | Worcester | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Hitchin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 18 | Leamington | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 19 | Banbury | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 20 | Stratford | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | 6 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1:25 | 0 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
